Vulcan Materials shows strong positive price momentum with volume accumulation and a bullish technical setup, but two of the last four quarters missed earnings estimates, the stock trades at a premium valuation with a forward price-to-earnings of 27x, and free cash flow represents only 22% of net income, raising earnings quality concerns.
Thesis pillars
- Positive Price Momentum Accumulation↓Deteriorating
- Premium Valuation Low Free Cashflow→Stable
- Elevated Put Call Options Positioning↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026
Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi (VMC) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Basic Materials · Building Materials
Wait for pullback to $256.28. At $265.00 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $256.28 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.
Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed stone, sand and gravel) and a major producer of aggregates-intensive downstream products such as asphalt mix and ready-mixed concrete. Delivered by trucks,... Read more
Wait for pullback to $256.28. At $265.00 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $256.28 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K Oct 22, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: On October 19, 2026, David P. Clement, Senior Vice President of Operations Support and Procurement of Vulcan Materials Company ("Vulcan"), notified Vulcan that he intends to retire from such position in the first quarter of 2027.
Latest news
- NEWS VMC Q2 FY2026 earnings call - finance.biggo.com — finance.biggo.com neutral
- NEWS [VMC Q2 2026 Earnings Call] Vulcan Materials Q2 Adjusted EBITDA Holds Steady at $654 Million Despite $40 Million Energy — finance.biggo.com neutral
- NEWS Vulcan Materials Q2 Earnings & Revenues Beat Estimates, Stock Up - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail positive
- NEWS Vulcan Materials Q2 Earnings & Revenues Beat Estimates, Stock Up - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Vulcan Materials tops estimates as pricing offsets weather, energy costs (VMC:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:40Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-10-22Item 5.02MEDIUMOn October 19, 2026, David P. Clement, Senior Vice President of Operations Support and Procurement of Vulcan Materials Company ("Vulcan"), notified Vulcan that he intends to retire from such position in the first quarter of 2027.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $256.28. At $265.00 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $256.28 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Target $276.03 (+4.2%), stop $245.04 (−8.1%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $276.03 (+4.2% upside). Target $276.03 (+4.2%), stop $245.04 (−8.1%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $245.04.
Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Weak overall score: 4.7/10.
Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi trades at a P/E of 31.3 (forward 25.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
30 analysts cover VMC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $307.
What does Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi do?Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed...
Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed stone, sand and gravel) and a major producer of aggregates-intensive downstream products such as asphalt mix and ready-mixed concrete. Delivered by trucks, ships, barges and trains, we provide the materials needed for the infrastructure that maintains and expands the U.S. economy.