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CXCemex, S.A.B. de C.V. SponsoredSell5.7·$10.52
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cemex screens attractively valued at approximately 14.5x forward earnings with excellent free cash flow conversion and rising volume accumulation confirming institutional buying, but shares have essentially reached the near-term technical ceiling with roughly 2% headroom and an unfavorable risk/reward ratio — and an extreme earnings miss in one of the past four quarters tempers confidence in execution consistency.

Thesis pillars

  • Technical Target Exhaustion→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation Growth Profile↓Deteriorating
  • Strong Fcf Piotroski Foundation↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cemex, S.A.B. de C.V. Sponsored (CX) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Sector Rotation edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, distribution, and sale of cement, ready-mix concrete, aggregates, urbanization solutions, and other construction materials and services worldwide. It offers gray ordinary portland, white... Read more

$10.52+25.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#5 of 14 Building Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield1.18%(5y avg 2.88%)Payout67.86%
Stop $9.92Analyst target $13.17(−10% haircut)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst consensus$14.64+39.1%15 analysts
$13.17Analyst target
$10.52price
$14.64mean
$20

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 111d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 18, 2027111d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)65.8
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$15.2B
EV/EBITDA6.1
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE5.2%
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta0.81
Dividend1.18%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.32bearish
IV76%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
1.2
52w Position
5.5
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 111d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
73 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.30Resistance $10.64

Price Targets

$10
$13
A.Upside+25.2%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-18 (111d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Prior stop was $9.92. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CX stock price target?

Analyst target: $13.17 (+25.2% upside). Prior stop was $9.92. Stop-loss: $9.92.

What are the risks of investing in CX?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is CX overvalued or undervalued?

Cemex, S.A.B. de C.V. Sponsored trades at a P/E of 65.8 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CX?

15 analysts cover CX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Cemex, S.A.B. de C.V. Sponsored do?CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, distribution, and sale of...

CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, distribution, and sale of cement, ready-mix concrete, aggregates, urbanization solutions, and other construction materials and services worldwide. It offers gray ordinary portland, white portland, and blended cement products; masonry or mortar products; standard ready-mix, architectural and decorative, rapid-setting, fiber-reinforced, fluid-fill, roller-compacted, self-consolidating, pervious, and antibacterial, and other concrete products; aggregate products, including crushed stone and manufactured sand, gravel, sand, and recycled concrete; and vertua products. The company also provides urbanization solutions for construction chemicals, mortars, concrete products, and asphalt businesses, as well as municipal and industrial waste management solutions; and construction, demolition, and excavation waste solutions. CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1906 and is based in San Pedro Garza García, Mexico.

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