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CXCemex, S.A.B. de C.V. SponsoredSell5.9·$10.69+0.28%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cemex screens attractively valued at approximately 14.5x forward earnings with excellent free cash flow conversion and rising volume accumulation confirming institutional buying, but shares have essentially reached the near-term technical ceiling with roughly 2% headroom and an unfavorable risk/reward ratio — and an extreme earnings miss in one of the past four quarters tempers confidence in execution consistency.

Thesis pillars

  • Technical Target ExhaustionStable
  • Attractive Valuation Growth ProfileStable
  • Strong Fcf Piotroski FoundationStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Cemex, S.A.B. de C.V. Sponsored (CX) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.69 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, distribution, and sale of cement, ready-mix concrete, aggregates, urbanization solutions, and other construction materials and services worldwide. It offers gray ordinary portland, white... Read more

$10.69+24.2% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 14 Building Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.28%
IncomeYield1.17%(5y avg 3.95%)Payout28.04%sustainable
Stop $10.19Target $13.27(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.8:1
Analyst target$14.75+37.9%15 analysts
$13.27our TP
$10.69price
$14.75mean
$20

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.69 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Oct 26, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 24%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.5
P/E (Fwd)11.6
Mkt Cap$15.4B
EV/EBITDA6.8
Profit Mgn2.8%
ROE4.0%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta0.83
Dividend1.17%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.72neutral
IV110%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.2
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Macd
6.8
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 4.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.41Resistance $11.20

Price Targets

$10
$13
A.Upside+24.2%
A.R:R4.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-26 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.69 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.19. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.27 (+24.2% upside). Prior stop was $10.19. Stop-loss: $10.19.

What are the risks of investing in CX?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is CX overvalued or undervalued?

Cemex, S.A.B. de C.V. Sponsored trades at a P/E of 30.5 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CX?

15 analysts cover CX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Cemex, S.A.B. de C.V. Sponsored do?CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, distribution, and sale of...

CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, distribution, and sale of cement, ready-mix concrete, aggregates, urbanization solutions, and other construction materials and services worldwide. It offers gray ordinary portland, white portland, and blended cement products; masonry or mortar products; standard ready-mix, architectural and decorative, rapid-setting, fiber-reinforced, fluid-fill, roller-compacted, self-consolidating, pervious, and antibacterial, and other concrete products; aggregate products, including crushed stone and manufactured sand, gravel, sand, and recycled concrete; and vertua products. The company also provides urbanization solutions for construction chemicals, mortars, concrete products, and asphalt businesses, as well as municipal and industrial waste management solutions; and construction, demolition, and excavation waste solutions. CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1906 and is based in San Pedro Garza García, Mexico.

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