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United States Lime & Minerals, (USLM) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup · Temp Headwind edge

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. At $109.20, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 8.9%.

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950, conducts lime and limestone operations.

$109.20+8.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#4 of 12 Building Materials
Stop $100.13Target $117.30(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$138.00+26.4%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. At $109.20, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 8.9%. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 22, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.9%
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Negative news sentiment (-0.67)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.7
P/E (Fwd)17.4
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA18.0
Profit Mgn36.0%
ROE23.8%
Rev Growth9.8%
Beta0.92
Dividend0.19%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.89bearish
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Vol Acceleration
2.3
Rsi
3.0
Volume
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 22, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weaknessVolume surge (2.7x avg) on selloff
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
22 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $103.07Resistance $141.44

Price Targets

$100
$117
A.Upside+7.4%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USLM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $109.20, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 8.9%. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 22, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $100.13. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the USLM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $117.30 (+8.9% upside). Prior stop was $100.13. Stop-loss: $100.13.

What are the risks of investing in USLM?

Thin upside margin: 8.9%; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative news sentiment (-0.67).

Is USLM overvalued or undervalued?

United States Lime & Minerals, trades at a P/E of 23.7 (forward 17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about USLM?

7 analysts cover USLM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $138.

What does United States Lime & Minerals, do?United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950,...

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950, conducts lime and limestone operations.

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