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USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals, Sell5.8·$109.30
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

United States Lime and Minerals is a high-quality building materials company with 35% net margins, a top-ranked return on equity versus peers, and a Piotroski financial strength score of 8 out of 9 — but 3 consecutive earnings misses and a news modifier pulling the outlook negative reduce the near-term setup quality.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Growth Ratio↓Deteriorating
  • Best In Class Margins→Stable
  • Earnings Miss Streak→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

United States Lime & Minerals, (USLM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)QualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Earnings in 4 days (2026-11-02). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $109.30 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950, conducts lime and limestone operations.

$109.30+2.7% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 14 Building Materials
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.50%
IncomeYield0.22%(5y avg 0.28%)Payout5.14%sustainable
Stop $103.24Analyst target $112.20(−15% haircut)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst consensus$132.00+20.8%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $109.30 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/11 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — United States Lime & Minerals,

Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:52Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 2, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.8 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.4
P/E (Fwd)19.2
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA14.8
Profit Mgn35.7%
ROE21.4%
Rev Growth8.3%
Beta0.65
Dividend0.22%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.04bearish
IV48%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.9
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.8
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 4 days
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $103.40Resistance $114.48

Price Targets

$103
$112
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.7% upside)
! News modifier -2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-02 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USLM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $109.30 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Prior stop was $103.24. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the USLM stock price target?

Analyst target: $112.20 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $103.24. Stop-loss: $103.24.

What are the risks of investing in USLM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Is USLM overvalued or undervalued?

United States Lime & Minerals, trades at a P/E of 23.4 (forward 19.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about USLM?

7 analysts cover USLM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $132.

What does United States Lime & Minerals, do?United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950,...

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950, conducts lime and limestone operations.

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