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USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals, Sell5.8·$104.28-2.95%
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United States Lime & Minerals, (USLM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. At $104.28, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950, conducts lime and limestone operations.

$104.28+12.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#1 of 12 Building Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.80%
IncomeYield0.22%(5y avg 0.37%)Payout5.29%sustainable
Stop $97.26Target $117.30(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$138.00+32.3%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. At $104.28, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-10
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.7
P/E (Fwd)17.4
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA15.0
Profit Mgn35.4%
ROE21.9%
Rev Growth-3.7%
Beta0.70
Dividend0.22%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.96neutral
IV72%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 22.0%
GatesA.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $100.27Resistance $115.48

Price Targets

$97
$117
A.Upside+12.5%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USLM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $104.28, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Prior stop was $97.26. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the USLM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $117.30 (+12.5% upside). Prior stop was $97.26. Stop-loss: $97.26.

What are the risks of investing in USLM?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Below 200-day MA.

Is USLM overvalued or undervalued?

United States Lime & Minerals, trades at a P/E of 23.7 (forward 17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about USLM?

7 analysts cover USLM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $138.

What does United States Lime & Minerals, do?United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950,...

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950, conducts lime and limestone operations.

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