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USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals, Buy Wait5.6·$113.74-0.65%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

United States Lime and Minerals is a high-quality building materials company with 35% net margins, a top-ranked return on equity versus peers, and a Piotroski financial strength score of 8 out of 9 — but 3 consecutive earnings misses and a news modifier pulling the outlook negative reduce the near-term setup quality.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Growth RatioDeteriorating
  • Best In Class MarginsStable
  • Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

United States Lime & Minerals, (USLM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Earnings in 1 day (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $106.69. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $113.74. Engine's entry $106.69 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950, conducts lime and limestone operations.

$113.74-2.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#8 of 14 Building Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.69%
IncomeYield0.22%(5y avg 0.37%)Payout5.29%sustainable
Entry $106.69(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $100.16Target $116.68(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$130.00+14.3%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Wait for pullback to $106.69. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $113.74. Engine's entry $106.69 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 80. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-29

Recent Developments — United States Lime & Minerals,

Generated 2026-07-30T22:23:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.5
P/E (Fwd)19.6
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA16.1
Profit Mgn35.4%
ROE21.9%
Rev Growth-3.7%
Beta0.72
Dividend0.22%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.21bearish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.4
Support Resistance
2.3
52w Position
6.1

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.8
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 1 days
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
80 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $96.27Resistance $119.06

Price Targets

$100
$107
$117
A.Upside-2.8%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.8% upside)
! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USLM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $106.69. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $113.74. Engine's entry $106.69 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 80. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $116.68 (+2.6%), stop $100.16 (−13.6%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the USLM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $116.68 (-2.8% upside). Target $116.68 (+2.6%), stop $100.16 (−13.6%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $100.16.

What are the risks of investing in USLM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is USLM overvalued or undervalued?

United States Lime & Minerals, trades at a P/E of 24.5 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about USLM?

7 analysts cover USLM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $130.

What does United States Lime & Minerals, do?United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950,...

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950, conducts lime and limestone operations.

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