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JHXJames Hardie Industries plc.Sell5.1·$25.09+4.00%
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James Hardie Industries plc. (JHX) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.09 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit.

James Hardie Industries plc engages in the manufacture and sale of fiber cement, fiber gypsum, and cement bonded boards in the United States, Australia, Europe, and New Zealand. It operates through four segments: Siding & Trim, Deck, Rail & Accessories, Australia & New Zealand,... Read more

$25.09-1.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#11 of 12 Building Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.64%
Stop $23.35Target $24.84(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$28.18+12.3%7 analysts
$24.84our TP
$25.09price
$28.18mean
$31

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.09 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 18, 202664d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)127.0
P/E (Fwd)14.1
Mkt Cap$14.0B
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE2.4%
Rev Growth44.5%
Beta1.04
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.44bearish
IV87%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.4
Bollinger
0.6
Gap
4.0
52w Position
6.8

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
9.2
Industry growth leader
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.51Resistance $25.35

Price Targets

$23
$25
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-18 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JHX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.09 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $23.35. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JHX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.84 (-1.1% upside). Prior stop was $23.35. Stop-loss: $23.35.

What are the risks of investing in JHX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is JHX overvalued or undervalued?

James Hardie Industries plc. trades at a P/E of 127.0 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JHX?

17 analysts cover JHX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $28.

What does James Hardie Industries plc. do?James Hardie Industries plc engages in the manufacture and sale of fiber cement, fiber gypsum, and cement bonded boards...

James Hardie Industries plc engages in the manufacture and sale of fiber cement, fiber gypsum, and cement bonded boards in the United States, Australia, Europe, and New Zealand. It operates through four segments: Siding & Trim, Deck, Rail & Accessories, Australia & New Zealand, and Europe. The Siding & Trim segment manufactures fiber cement and PVC siding and trim products, mouldings, interior linings, and accessories under brands such as Hardie, AZEK Exteriors, and Versatex are used in both residential new construction and repair and remodel applications. The Deck, Rail & Accessories segment produces decking, railing, cladding, pergolas, cabanas, and related accessories, including wood-alternative decking and railing solutions offered under the TimberTech, ULTRALOX, and INTEX brands, as well as functional and decorative outdoor accessories, including drink rails, structural mounting posts, lighting systems and gate kits; and adjustable louvered pergola systems through StruXure. The Australia & New Zealand segment manufactures and sells fiber cement products for residential and commercial applications, including exterior cladding, interior wall linings, flooring, eaves and soffits, and façade systems, primarily under the Hardie brand. The Europe segment produces fiber gypsum products and cement-bonded boards under the fermacell brand, and fiber cement products under the Hardie brand, serving residential and commercial repair, remodel, and new construction markets. The company offers its products through a network of specialty building products distributors, lumberyards, and home improvement retailers to builder's merchants, remodelers, DIY stores, and professional contractors. James Hardie Industries plc was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

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