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PNRPentair plc.Sell5.2·$66.17-0.63%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pentair is a high-quality water treatment and flow control industrial with a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak, a forward P/E of 12.8x, and best-in-class margins at 16%, offering 22.7% analyst upside — though it remains in a confirmed downtrend with the 200-day moving average declining 4.4% per month.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class MarginsDeteriorating
  • Perfect Earnings ConsistencyImproving
  • Attractive Valuation UpsideDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pentair plc. (PNR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. At $66.17, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Weak growth.

Pentair designs, manufactures, and sells water treatment, flow management, and pool equipment through three segments — Water Solutions ($1.6 billion net sales), Pool ($1.6 billion), and Flow ($1.0 billion) — totaling $4.2 billion in 2025 net sales. The company serves... Read more

$66.17+4.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#45 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.55%
IncomeYield1.59%(5y avg 1.25%)Payout25.63%sustainable
Stop $61.54Target $69.10(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$79.43+20.0%14 analysts
$69.10our TP
$66.17price
$79.43mean
$60
$106

Sell if holding. At $66.17, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-31
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 20, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive insider activity
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.4%
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.8
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$10.8B
EV/EBITDA11.6
Profit Mgn16.2%
ROE17.1%
Rev Growth-17.0%
Beta
Dividend1.59%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.89neutral
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerlargest customer18%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our net sales to our largest customer represented approximately 18% of our consolidated net sales in 2025.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicSales outside of the U.S.30%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales outside of the U.S. for the year ended December 31, 2025 accounted for 30% of our net sales.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Jerome O. Pedretti, EVP and CEO, Pool, elected to resign effective July 1, 2026; the CEO, Pool role was eliminated. De'Mon L. Wiggins appointed EVP and President, Flow, Water Solutions and Pool effective April 28, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -17.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -17%
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $57.35Resistance $77.62

Price Targets

$62
$69
A.Upside+4.4%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-20 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PNR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $66.17, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $61.54. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PNR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.10 (+4.4% upside). Prior stop was $61.54. Stop-loss: $61.54.

What are the risks of investing in PNR?

Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is PNR overvalued or undervalued?

Pentair plc. trades at a P/E of 16.8 (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PNR?

23 analysts cover PNR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $79.

What does Pentair plc. do?Pentair designs, manufactures, and sells water treatment, flow management, and pool equipment through three segments —...

Pentair designs, manufactures, and sells water treatment, flow management, and pool equipment through three segments — Water Solutions ($1.6 billion net sales), Pool ($1.6 billion), and Flow ($1.0 billion) — totaling $4.2 billion in 2025 net sales. The company serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers and employs approximately 9,000 people worldwide.

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