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EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.Hold6.1·$34.56-1.86%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This specialty industrial machinery company carries strong underlying quality and an attractively growth-adjusted valuation, but the technical setup remains cautious — a confirmed long-term downtrend, an imminent earnings report, and high supplier concentration mean the current posture is maintenance, not accumulation.

Thesis pillars

  • Supplier Concentration Operational RiskDeteriorating
  • Quality And Growth Adjusted ValueImproving
  • Momentum Recovery In ProgressDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Enerpac Tool Group Corp. (EPAC) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Temporary headwind edge

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Enerpac Tool Group designs, manufactures, and distributes high-pressure hydraulic tools and services across more than 100 countries through its single Industrial Tools & Services segment. In fiscal 2025, 37% of net sales came from the United States and 28% from Europe, with... Read more

$34.56+18.0% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#4 of 55 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.67%
IncomeYield0.11%(5y avg 0.14%)Payout2.27%sustainable
Stop $33.14Target $40.80(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.6:1
Analyst target$48.00+38.9%2 analysts
$40.80our TP
$34.56price
$48.00mean
$50

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 14, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=8.0 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.0
P/E (Fwd)17.1
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA12.0
Profit Mgn14.7%
ROE21.6%
Rev Growth5.6%
Beta0.87
Dividend0.11%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.09bullish
IV103%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicUnited States37%
    10-K Item 1: 'In fiscal 2025, we derived 37% of our net sales from the United States'
  • MEDIUMGeographicEurope28%
    10-K Item 1: 'we derived 37% of our net sales from the United States, 28% from Europe'
  • LOWGeographicMiddle East13%
    10-K Item 1: 'we derived 37% of our net sales from the United States, 28% from Europe, 13% from the Middle East'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle or limited suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We procure certain components for our products from single or limited suppliers.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierChina suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'we procure a portion of our components from suppliers located in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 27, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $34.17Resistance $37.98

Price Targets

$33
$41
A.Upside+18.0%
A.R:R3.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-14 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPAC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $40.80 (+18.1%), stop $33.14 (−4.3%), A.R:R 3.6:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EPAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.80 (+18.0% upside). Target $40.80 (+18.1%), stop $33.14 (−4.3%), A.R:R 3.6:1. Stop-loss: $33.14.

What are the risks of investing in EPAC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is EPAC overvalued or undervalued?

Enerpac Tool Group Corp. trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 17.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EPAC?

9 analysts cover EPAC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $48.

What does Enerpac Tool Group Corp. do?Enerpac Tool Group designs, manufactures, and distributes high-pressure hydraulic tools and services across more than...

Enerpac Tool Group designs, manufactures, and distributes high-pressure hydraulic tools and services across more than 100 countries through its single Industrial Tools & Services segment. In fiscal 2025, 37% of net sales came from the United States and 28% from Europe, with approximately 2,100 employees. The company single-sources certain components from its global supplier network.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation Lt) · MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS) · BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I) · XE (X-Energy, Inc.)
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