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PNRPentair plc.Hold5.2·$65.84
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pentair is a high-quality water treatment and flow control industrial with a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak, a forward P/E of 12.8x, and best-in-class margins at 16%, offering 22.7% analyst upside — though it remains in a confirmed downtrend with the 200-day moving average declining 4.4% per month.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margins↓Deteriorating
  • Perfect Earnings Consistency→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation Upside↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pentair plc. (PNR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $65.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Pentair designs, manufactures, and sells water treatment, flow management, and pool equipment through three segments — Water Solutions ($1.6 billion net sales), Pool ($1.6 billion), and Flow ($1.0 billion) — totaling $4.2 billion in 2025 net sales. The company serves... Read more

$65.84+0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#45 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.50%
IncomeYield1.68%(5y avg 1.22%)Payout28.88%sustainable
Stop $61.86Analyst target $66.24(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst consensus$73.60+11.8%15 analysts
$66.24Analyst target
$65.84price
$73.60mean
$55
$94

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $65.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 90. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 94d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 2, 202794d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.60)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.9
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$10.5B
EV/EBITDA11.9
Profit Mgn15.4%
ROE15.6%
Rev Growth-4.5%
Beta1.03
Dividend1.68%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.56bearish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$93+40.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerlargest customer18%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our net sales to our largest customer represented approximately 18% of our consolidated net sales in 2025.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicSales outside of the U.S.30%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales outside of the U.S. for the year ended December 31, 2025 accounted for 30% of our net sales.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Jerome O. Pedretti, EVP and CEO, Pool, elected to resign effective July 1, 2026; the CEO, Pool role was eliminated. De'Mon L. Wiggins appointed EVP and President, Flow, Water Solutions and Pool effective April 28, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
1.4
Declining revenue: -4%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
1.8
GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 94d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
90 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $50.88Resistance $66.17

Price Targets

$62
$66
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.6% upside)
! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-02 (94d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PNR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $65.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 90. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $66.24 (+0.6%), stop $61.86 (−6.4%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PNR stock price target?

Analyst target: $66.24 (+0.6% upside). Analyst target $66.24 (+0.6%), stop $61.86 (−6.4%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $61.86.

What are the risks of investing in PNR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak growth.

Is PNR overvalued or undervalued?

Pentair plc. trades at a P/E of 17.9 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PNR?

22 analysts cover PNR with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $74.

What does Pentair plc. do?Pentair designs, manufactures, and sells water treatment, flow management, and pool equipment through three segments —...

Pentair designs, manufactures, and sells water treatment, flow management, and pool equipment through three segments — Water Solutions ($1.6 billion net sales), Pool ($1.6 billion), and Flow ($1.0 billion) — totaling $4.2 billion in 2025 net sales. The company serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers and employs approximately 9,000 people worldwide.

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