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BWBabcock & Wilcox Enterprises, ISell5.8·$16.30-0.37%
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Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I (BW) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.30: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises is an energy technology company providing steam generation, emissions control, and renewable energy equipment and services to utilities, industrial customers, and governments worldwide across its Babcock & Wilcox Thermal and Babcock & Wilcox... Read more

$16.30+32.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#8 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield9.46%
Stop $15.09Target $20.97(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$24.67+51.3%3 analysts
$20.97our TP
$16.30price
$24.67mean
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.30: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I

About Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I

Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises carried a backlog of $423.6 million at December 31, 2025, down from $495.2 million a year earlier, reflecting a single reportable segment following the completion of its strategic simplification through non-core asset divestitures executed in 2025. The company employs approximately 1,650 people worldwide, with roughly 300 union-affiliated hourly workers covered by two collective bargaining agreements in Mexico, the United States, and Canada. B&W has supplied energy and environmental equipment in more than 90 countries.

Babcock & Wilcox earns revenue through fixed-price, cost-plus, target-price cost incentive, and cost-reimbursable contracts, typically awarded through competitive bidding. The aftermarket business — parts, field services, construction, and engineered upgrades for B&W's vast installed base and third-party OEM equipment — provides recurring demand alongside capital equipment orders for package boilers, waste heat boilers, and emissions control systems. Advanced decarbonization offerings include carbon capture and hydrogen-from-solid-fuel technologies targeting data centers, utilities, and industrial customers. Raw materials consist primarily of carbon and alloy steels sourced from multiple suppliers; the filing notes no dependence on any single source. Competitors include GE Vernova, Mitsubishi Power, Valmet Oyj, Fluor Corporation, and Andritz AG. Demand is driven by capital expenditure budgets of electric power generators and steam-using industrial customers — a historically cyclical base sensitive to electricity prices, natural gas prices, and environmental regulatory requirements.

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B&W's fixed-price contracts carry direct exposure to cost overruns if labor or steel costs exceed estimates, with the 10-K identifying tariff-driven input price increases as a specific risk on long-term projects. A near-term financial constraint adds urgency: the Credit Agreement requires B&W to repay, defease, or refinance its $84.8 million of 6.50% Senior Notes Due December 2026 by November 30, 2026, or extend the maturity to at least July 18, 2028. Failure to meet this covenant could result in a breach and potentially require reorganization, including through bankruptcy proceedings.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

From Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)35.3
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA100.3
Profit Mgn-13.9%
ROE
Rev Growth44.3%
Beta1.12
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV123%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -13.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.8
Gross Margin
0.9
Current Ratio
4.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.5
Quality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.2
Uptrend pullback (RSI 33) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.56Resistance $22.03

Price Targets

$15
$21
A.Upside+28.7%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.30: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $15.09. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.97 (+32.1% upside). Prior stop was $15.09. Stop-loss: $15.09.

What are the risks of investing in BW?

Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is BW overvalued or undervalued?

Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 35.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BW?

11 analysts cover BW with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $25.

What does Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I do?Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises is an energy technology company providing steam generation, emissions control, and...

Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises is an energy technology company providing steam generation, emissions control, and renewable energy equipment and services to utilities, industrial customers, and governments worldwide across its Babcock & Wilcox Thermal and Babcock & Wilcox Environmental segments.

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