Four consecutive earnings beats against a 30% revenue growth backdrop and a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 0.12 frame a genuinely attractive valuation, but a price pullback to deeply oversold levels and free cash flow equal to only 5% of net income are material caution flags that must resolve before the bull case is fully trusted.
Thesis pillars
- Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
- Strong 30 Percent Revenue Growth→Stable
- Oversold Pullback Within Uptrend↑Improving
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed May 27, 2026
American Superconductor Corpora (AMSC) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge
Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $28.05: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.2x (earnings normalizing); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).
American Superconductor designs power control systems for the electric grid, wind turbine manufacturers, and naval ship protection, serving utilities, industrial customers, and the U.S. and Canadian navies. The company estimates its addressable market at over $15 billion for... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $28.05: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.2x (earnings normalizing); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.
About American Superconductor Corpora
About American Superconductor Corpora
American Superconductor's wind power electronics and control systems support a global installed base of more than 18 gigawatts, while the company pegs its total addressable market at over $15 billion for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026. That market spans traditional and renewable energy, critical-materials manufacturing, and naval electrification, the last of which sits within more than $47 billion of U.S. federal investment in military ship systems and capabilities.
American Superconductor earns revenue by selling power electronics and control systems directly to grid operators, industrial facilities, and the U.S. and Royal Canadian Navy, and by licensing its wind turbine electrical-control-system and mechanical designs to turbine manufacturers such as Inox in India, which pays royalties and buys AMSC-made components. The company's Grid segment, which includes its proprietary D-VAR voltage-control systems and Amperium high-temperature superconductor wire, expanded through the acquisitions of Comtrafo, a Brazil-based transformer manufacturer completed in December 2025, and Megatran/NWL, a U.S. power-conversion manufacturer completed in August 2024. Many of AMSC's components and subassemblies are manufactured by a limited number of qualified suppliers, exposing the company to shortages and price fluctuations if it cannot find substitute sources on acceptable terms. AMSC also holds contracts with the U.S. and Canadian governments for naval ship protection and defense magnetics, which carry government audit rights and termination-for-convenience provisions typical of defense contracting.
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A distinct risk for AMSC beyond ordinary termination-for-convenience exposure is a January 7, 2026 executive order, 'Prioritizing the Warfighter in Defense Contracting,' which directs the Secretary of Defense to flag contractors under-investing in production capacity or engaged in stock repurchases or dividends as Underperforming. Contractors found Underperforming face restrictions on share buybacks and dividends, executive pay caps, and possible denial of Foreign Military Sales advocacy. AMSC also discloses Wind-segment single-customer risk: a significant portion of Wind segment revenue has historically come from Inox, a licensee whose order book exceeds 3 gigawatts but has historically failed to post letters of credit and take delivery of forecasted shipment quantities.
See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
From American Superconductor Corpora's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-30Recent Developments — American Superconductor Corpora
Latest news
- NEWS American Superconductor (AMSC) Lands $25 Million Mining Order As Fair Value Stays In Focus - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS American Superconductor (AMSC) Lands $25 Million Mining Order As Fair Value Stays In Focus - finance.yahoo.com — finance.yahoo.com positive
- NEWS American Superconductor: 1Q EPS Expected to Exceed 7c per Share >AMSC - Moomoo — Moomoo positive
- NEWS American Superconductor (AMSC) Surpasses Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS American Superconductor’s (NASDAQ:AMSC) Q1 CY2026: Beats On Revenue But Stock Drops - StockStory — StockStory positive
Generated 2026-10-30T11:22:45Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerInox10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our Wind segment revenues have historically been derived from Inox and a significant decrease in revenues from Inox could adversely impact our Wind segment.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-02Item 5.02LOWCompensation Committee and Board approved a Fiscal 2026 Executive Incentive Plan for the CEO and other executive officers on June 1, 2026, with cash incentive payouts capped at 200% of target, weighted 50% on non-GAAP net income vs. target. No director or officer departure.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
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Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $28.05: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.2x (earnings normalizing); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Prior stop was $26.09. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $52.49 (+87.1% upside). Prior stop was $26.09. Stop-loss: $26.09.
Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.2x (earnings normalizing); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
American Superconductor Corpora trades at a P/E of 9.4 (forward 20.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover AMSC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $62.
What does American Superconductor Corpora do?American Superconductor designs power control systems for the electric grid, wind turbine manufacturers, and naval ship...
American Superconductor designs power control systems for the electric grid, wind turbine manufacturers, and naval ship protection, serving utilities, industrial customers, and the U.S. and Canadian navies. The company estimates its addressable market at over $15 billion for fiscal 2026 and recently expanded its Grid segment through the acquisitions of Comtrafo, a Brazil-based transformer manufacturer, and Megatran/NWL, a U.S. power-conversion manufacturer. A significant portion of AMSC's Wind segment revenue has historically depended on a single licensee customer, Inox, in India.