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PKEPark Aerospace Corp.Hold6.3·$36.31-1.65%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PKE carries a strong earnings-beat streak and 43% growth into a bullish breakout setup, but an already-reached analyst target, expensive headline valuation, an earnings-quality warning, and a dividend yield-trap warning temper the case.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak With Strong GrowthStable
  • Expensive Valuation Target ReachedStable
  • Bullish Breakout Technical SetupStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Earnings in 7 days (2026-07-14). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: ten largest customers (71.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source raw materials.

Park Aerospace Corp., an aerospace company, develops and manufactures solution and hot-melt advanced composite materials used to produce composite structures for the aerospace market in North America, Asia, and Europe. It offers advanced composite materials, including film... Read more

$36.31+7.6% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#4 of 64 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield0.95%
IncomeYield1.32%(5y avg 3.06%)Payout89.29%at-risk
Stop $33.77Target $39.06(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$42.00+15.7%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: ten largest customers (71.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source raw materials. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 14, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: ten largest customers (71.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source raw materials
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)67.4
P/E (Fwd)74.0
Mkt Cap$788M
EV/EBITDA45.5
Profit Mgn15.4%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth42.8%
Beta0.40
Dividend1.32%
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV87%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerten largest customers71%
    10-K Item 1A: 'During the Company's fiscal years ended March 1, 2026, March 2, 2025, and March 3, 2024, the Company's ten largest customers accounted for approximately 71%, 66%, and 64%, respectively, of net sales.'
  • MEDIUMCustomersubtier suppliers of GE Aerospace39%
    10-K Item 1: 'During the Company's 2026, 2025, and 2024 fiscal years, 39.3%, 39.8%, and 37.7%, respectively, of the Company's total worldwide net sales were to affiliate and non-affiliate subtier suppliers of GE Aerospace, a leading manufacturer of aerospace engines.'
  • LOWCustomerAerojet Rocketdyne12%
    10-K Item 1: 'In addition, sales to Aerojet Rocketdyne accounted for 11.7% of the Company's total worldwide sales in the 2026 fiscal year.'
  • HIGHSuppliersole-source raw materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company has qualified alternate sources of supply for many, but not all, of its raw materials, but certain raw materials are produced by only one supplier.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $30.73Resistance $39.86

Price Targets

$34
$39
A.Upside+7.6%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-14 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PKE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: ten largest customers (71.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source raw materials. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $39.06 (+7.6%), stop $33.77 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PKE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.06 (+7.6% upside). Target $39.06 (+7.6%), stop $33.77 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $33.77.

What are the risks of investing in PKE?

Concentration risk — Customer: ten largest customers (71.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source raw materials; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is PKE overvalued or undervalued?

Park Aerospace Corp. trades at a P/E of 67.4 (forward 74.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PKE?

5 analysts cover PKE with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Park Aerospace Corp. do?Park Aerospace Corp., an aerospace company, develops and manufactures solution and hot-melt advanced composite...

Park Aerospace Corp., an aerospace company, develops and manufactures solution and hot-melt advanced composite materials used to produce composite structures for the aerospace market in North America, Asia, and Europe. It offers advanced composite materials, including film adhesives and lightning strike protection materials used to produce primary and secondary structures for jet engines, large and regional transport aircraft, military aircraft, unmanned aerial vehicles, business jets, general aviation aircraft, and rotary wing aircraft. The company also provides specialty ablative materials for rocket motors and nozzles; and designed materials for radome applications. In addition, it designs and fabricates composite parts, structures and assemblies, and low volume tooling for the aerospace industry. The company was formerly known as Park Electrochemical Corp. and changed its name to Park Aerospace Corp. in July 2019. Park Aerospace Corp. was incorporated in 1954 and is based in Westbury, New York.

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