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NPOEnpro Inc.Sell5.2·$283.94-5.51%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Enpro has delivered strong cash generation with a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and free cash flow at 308% of net income, but its valuation has moved ahead of fundamentals with a negative asymmetry ratio and the stock trading above its analyst price target, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • Elevated Options Market RiskImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Enpro Inc. (NPO) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $283.94 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Enpro Inc. designs and manufactures sealing and advanced surface technology products across two segments—Sealing Technologies and Advanced Surface Technologies—serving semiconductor, industrial, aerospace, and other end markets from 15 primary facilities in 8 countries. The... Read more

$283.94+16.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#43 of 55 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.06%
IncomeYield0.43%(5y avg 0.86%)Payout61.17%
Stop $274.67Target $331.07(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$389.50+37.2%4 analysts
$331.07our TP
$283.94price
$389.50mean
$430

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $283.94 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)145.2
P/E (Fwd)27.6
Mkt Cap$6.4B
EV/EBITDA22.9
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE2.9%
Rev Growth17.6%
Beta1.55
Dividend0.43%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV60%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomersingle AST customer (~24% of net sales)24%
    10-K Item 1A: 'a customer that accounted for approximately 24% of our 2025 consolidated net sales'
  • MEDIUMSupplierChina rare earth minerals
    10-K Item 1A: 'Some of AST's operations rely upon sourcing certain rare earth minerals that historically have been sourced indirectly from China'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02LOW
    CIO Larisa R. Joiner to step down April 23, 2026; company conducting search for replacement. Joiner remains as employee at current salary through July 31, 2026 to facilitate transition; eligible for severance under Senior Officer Severance Plan upon termination.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.9
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.9
Uptrend pullback (RSI 36) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $283.17Resistance $349.28

Price Targets

$275
$331
A.Upside+16.6%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NPO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $283.94 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $274.67. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NPO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $331.07 (+16.6% upside). Prior stop was $274.67. Stop-loss: $274.67.

What are the risks of investing in NPO?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is NPO overvalued or undervalued?

Enpro Inc. trades at a P/E of 145.2 (forward 27.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NPO?

7 analysts cover NPO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $390.

What does Enpro Inc. do?Enpro Inc. designs and manufactures sealing and advanced surface technology products across two segments—Sealing...

Enpro Inc. designs and manufactures sealing and advanced surface technology products across two segments—Sealing Technologies and Advanced Surface Technologies—serving semiconductor, industrial, aerospace, and other end markets from 15 primary facilities in 8 countries. The company generated $1.14 billion in sales in 2025, with semiconductor representing 32.1% of revenue; roughly two-thirds of Sealing Technologies revenue comes from recurring aftermarket sales.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation Lt) · MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS) · BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.)
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