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NPOEnpro Inc.Buy Wait5.1·$284.44
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Enpro has delivered strong cash generation with a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and free cash flow at 308% of net income, but its valuation has moved ahead of fundamentals with a negative asymmetry ratio and the stock trading above its analyst price target, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Consistency→Stable
  • Elevated Options Market Risk↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Enpro Inc. (NPO) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Earnings in 3 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $272.06. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $284.44. Engine's entry $272.06 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Enpro Inc. designs and manufactures sealing and advanced surface technology products across two segments—Sealing Technologies and Advanced Surface Technologies—serving semiconductor, industrial, aerospace, and other end markets from 15 primary facilities in 8 countries. The... Read more

$284.44+16.4% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#48 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.17%
IncomeYield0.45%(5y avg 0.71%)Payout61.17%
Entry $272.06(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $253.02Target $331.07(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst consensus$389.50+36.9%4 analysts
$331.07our TP
$284.44price
$389.50mean
$430

Wait for pullback to $272.06. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $284.44. Engine's entry $272.06 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)138.1
P/E (Fwd)26.1
Mkt Cap$6.0B
EV/EBITDA21.7
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE2.9%
Rev Growth17.6%
Beta1.58
Dividend0.45%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C84.67bearish
IV57%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomersingle AST customer (~24% of net sales)24%
    10-K Item 1A: 'a customer that accounted for approximately 24% of our 2025 consolidated net sales'
  • MEDIUMSupplierChina rare earth minerals
    10-K Item 1A: 'Some of AST's operations rely upon sourcing certain rare earth minerals that historically have been sourced indirectly from China'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02LOW
    CIO Larisa R. Joiner to step down April 23, 2026; company conducting search for replacement. Joiner remains as employee at current salary through July 31, 2026 to facilitate transition; eligible for severance under Senior Officer Severance Plan upon termination.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
1.3
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $259.40Resistance $339.12

Price Targets

$253
$272
$331
A.Upside+16.4%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:3d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NPO stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $272.06. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $284.44. Engine's entry $272.06 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $331.07 (+16.4%), stop $253.02 (−12.4%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NPO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $331.07 (+16.4% upside). Target $331.07 (+16.4%), stop $253.02 (−12.4%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $253.02.

What are the risks of investing in NPO?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is NPO overvalued or undervalued?

Enpro Inc. trades at a P/E of 138.1 (forward 26.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about NPO?

7 analysts cover NPO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $390.

What does Enpro Inc. do?Enpro Inc. designs and manufactures sealing and advanced surface technology products across two segments—Sealing...

Enpro Inc. designs and manufactures sealing and advanced surface technology products across two segments—Sealing Technologies and Advanced Surface Technologies—serving semiconductor, industrial, aerospace, and other end markets from 15 primary facilities in 8 countries. The company generated $1.14 billion in sales in 2025, with semiconductor representing 32.1% of revenue; roughly two-thirds of Sealing Technologies revenue comes from recurring aftermarket sales.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · XE (X-Energy, Inc.) · GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation Lt) · HLIO (Helios Technologies, Inc.)
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