MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.85 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: GSEs.
MGIC Investment provides private mortgage insurance (PMI), credit risk management, and ancillary services through wholly-owned subsidiaries including Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC). In 2025, primary NIW was $60.2B with $303.1B direct IIF and $1.2B total revenues.... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.85 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: GSEs. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — MGIC Investment Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS MTG Reports Q1 Revenue of $297.08 Million, Exceeding Expectations - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS MGIC Investment (MTG) Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS MGIC INVESTMENT|WI ($MTG) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
- NEWS MGIC Investment (NYSE:MTG) Misses Q1 CY2026 Revenue Estimates - TradingView — TradingView negative
- NEWS MGIC Investment (NYSE: MTG) Q1 2026 earnings, capital return and new $750M buyback - Stock Titan — Stock Titan positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerGSEs10-K Item 1A: 'The substantial majority of our new insurance written ("NIW") is for loans purchased by the GSEs'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Revenue shrinking — -3.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.85 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: GSEs. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Prior stop was $24.82. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $25.99 (+0.5% upside). Prior stop was $24.82. Stop-loss: $24.82.
Concentration risk — Customer: GSEs; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.
MGIC Investment Corporation trades at a P/E of 8.2 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover MTG with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $29.
What does MGIC Investment Corporation do?MGIC Investment provides private mortgage insurance (PMI), credit risk management, and ancillary services through...
MGIC Investment provides private mortgage insurance (PMI), credit risk management, and ancillary services through wholly-owned subsidiaries including Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC). In 2025, primary NIW was $60.2B with $303.1B direct IIF and $1.2B total revenues. The vast majority of NIW insures loans purchased by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.