Radian Group Inc. (RDN) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty
Wait for pullback to $33.54. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $34.70. Engine's entry $33.54 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 8.2%.
Radian Group is a leading U.S. private mortgage insurer, with $282.5B of insurance in force and $74.7B direct risk in force as of December 31, 2025, through its Mortgage Insurance segment. It earns premiums from lenders and borrowers on residential first-lien loans with LTV... Read more
Wait for pullback to $33.54. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $34.70. Engine's entry $33.54 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 8.2%. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Radian Group Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Radian Group Inc (RDN) Shares Surge 3.9% -- What GF Score of 83 Tells Investors - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Radian Group (RDN) Stock Is Up, What You Need To Know - StockStory — StockStory positive
- NEWS Radian Group (RDN) Stock Soars After Upgrade from Bank of Americ - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Radian gets double upgrade to Buy at BofA as Inigo buy brightens outlook (RDN:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS Radian (RDN) up 0.3% since last earnings report: Can it continue? - MSN — MSN positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-12Item 5.02HIGHEffective February 12, 2026, Sumita Pandit (President and CFO) was involuntarily terminated. Daniel Kobell appointed Interim CFO; Robert J. Quigley elevated to Senior EVP Finance. No permanent CFO successor named.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-03Item 5.02LOWAmendment to Feb 12, 2026 8-K: On March 30, 2026, Compensation Committee approved compensation for Interim CFO Daniel Kobell: $500K base salary, 100% STI target, $1M 2026 LTI target.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-21Item 5.02LOWOn April 20, 2026, Eric R. Ray (Senior EVP, Chief Digital Officer) notified Company of decision to retire effective July 1, 2026. No disagreement cited. No successor named.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 ceiling hits
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $33.54. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $34.70. Engine's entry $33.54 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 8.2%. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $37.56 (+8.2%), stop $31.78 (−9.2%), Setup A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $37.56 (+9.8% upside). Target $37.56 (+8.2%), stop $31.78 (−9.2%), Setup A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $31.78.
Thin upside margin: 8.2%.
Radian Group Inc. trades at a P/E of 8.1 (forward 6.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
11 analysts cover RDN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $43.
What does Radian Group Inc. do?Radian Group is a leading U.S. private mortgage insurer, with $282.5B of insurance in force and $74.7B direct risk in...
Radian Group is a leading U.S. private mortgage insurer, with $282.5B of insurance in force and $74.7B direct risk in force as of December 31, 2025, through its Mortgage Insurance segment. It earns premiums from lenders and borrowers on residential first-lien loans with LTV >80%, subject to GSE PMIERs eligibility requirements. In February 2026, Radian acquired Inigo (a Lloyd's specialty insurer) to become a global multi-line specialty insurer, and is divesting its Mortgage Conduit, Title, and Real Estate Services businesses.