Intrepid Potash shows a cyclical valuation trap with forward earnings priced for a sharp reversion, a severely negative asymmetry setup, and an earnings-quality flag, consistent with a quality score below the engine's floor.
Thesis pillars
- Severe Negative Asymmetry→Stable
- Cyclical Valuation Trap→Stable
- Earnings Quality Red Flag→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Intrepid Potash, Inc (IPI) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $34.80: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
Intrepid Potash, Inc. delivers potassium, magnesium, sulfur, salt, and water products. It operates through three segments: Potash, Trio, and Oilfield Solutions. The company offers muriate of potash for various markets, such as in agricultural market as a fertilizer input, in... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $34.80: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $34.80: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $32.36. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $35.95 (+3.3% upside). Prior stop was $32.36. Stop-loss: $32.36.
Target reached (-36.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).
Intrepid Potash, Inc trades at a P/E of 30.8 (forward 56.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover IPI with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $26.
What does Intrepid Potash, Inc do?Intrepid Potash, Inc. delivers potassium, magnesium, sulfur, salt, and water products. It operates through three...
Intrepid Potash, Inc. delivers potassium, magnesium, sulfur, salt, and water products. It operates through three segments: Potash, Trio, and Oilfield Solutions. The company offers muriate of potash for various markets, such as in agricultural market as a fertilizer input, in animal feed market as a nutrient supplement, in industrial market as a component in drilling and fracturing fluids, as well as input to other industrial processes. It also provides Trio, a specialty fertilizer that delivers potassium, sulfate, and magnesium in a single particle; salt for various markets, including animal feed, industrial applications, pool salt, and the treatment of roads and walkways for ice melting or to manage road conditions; magnesium chloride for use as a road treatment agent for deicing and dedusting; brines for use in oil and gas industry to support well workover and completion activities; and metal recovery salts. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Denver, Colorado.