Attractive valuation metrics and an oversold technical setup offer a potential entry point with approximately 15% upside at a favorable risk/reward, but critically weak cash conversion — only 21 cents of each dollar of reported net income converts to free cash flow — and a dividend that appears inadequately backed by actual cash generation are material concerns that cap conviction.
Thesis pillars
- Oversold Setup With Volume Accumulation↓Deteriorating
- Attractive Valuation Metrics→Stable
- Critically Weak Cash Conversion→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
ICL Group Ltd. (ICL) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.06: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 6.00; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
ICL Group Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty minerals and chemicals company worldwide. The company operates in four segments: Industrial Products, Potash, Phosphate Solutions, and Growing Solutions. The Industrial Products segment produces bromine out... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.06: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 6.00; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-31Recent Developments — ICL Group Ltd.
Latest news
- NEWS 'Hormuz Reopening Seen Unleashing Pent-Up Gulf Grain Demand' - Bloomberg — benzinga Jun 16, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Reported Earlier, ICL Group Prices $800M Private Offering Of 6.036% Senior Unsecured Notes Due 2036 To Repay Revolving C — benzinga Jun 10, 2026 neutral
- NEWS ICL Plans New Bond Sale to Raise Money for Debt Repayment and Future Growth — benzinga Jun 1, 2026 positive
- NEWS Barclays Maintains Equal-Weight on ICL Group, Raises Price Target to $7 — benzinga May 18, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Transcript: ICL Group Q1 2026 Earnings Conference Call — benzinga May 13, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-07-31T23:42:48Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.06: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 6.00; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Prior stop was $4.82. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $5.27 (-0.9% upside). Prior stop was $4.82. Stop-loss: $4.82.
Target reached (-0.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).
ICL Group Ltd. trades at a P/E of 24.7 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover ICL with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $6.
What does ICL Group Ltd. do?ICL Group Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty minerals and chemicals company worldwide. The...
ICL Group Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty minerals and chemicals company worldwide. The company operates in four segments: Industrial Products, Potash, Phosphate Solutions, and Growing Solutions. The Industrial Products segment produces bromine out of a solution that is a by-product of the potash production process, as well as bromine-based compounds; sells various grades of potash, salt, magnesium chloride, and magnesia products; and produces and markets phosphorous-based flame retardants and other phosphorus-based products. The Potash segment produces and sells potash, salt, magnesium, electricity, and magnesium alloys; as well as chlorine and sylvinite. The Phosphate segment uses phosphate commodity products to produce specialty products; sells phosphate-based fertilizers, as well as sulphuric and green phosphoric acid, and phosphate fertilizers; and offers phosphate salts and acids. It also develops and produces functional food ingredients and phosphate additives. The Growing Solutions segment develops, manufactures, markets, and sells fertilizers based primarily on nitrogen, potash, and phosphate, including water-soluble specialty, and controlled-release fertilizers, as well as secondary nutrients, bio-stimulants, soil conditioners, seed treatment products, and adjuvants. It also offers digital platforms and technological solutions for farmers and agronomists. The company serves pharmaceutical, food, oil and gas, de-icing, building and construction, oral care, paints and coatings, energy storage, water treatment, electronics, automotive, agriculture, textiles, tire manufacturing, and healthcare industries, as well as power plants and battery producers. It sells its products through marketing companies, agents, and distributors. The company was formerly known as Israel Chemicals Ltd. and changed its name to ICL Group Ltd in May 2020. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.