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EPCEdgewell Personal Care CompanySell5.1·$26.00-2.29%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Edgewell Personal Care generates a strong free cash flow yield but has already reached its analyst target, leaving a negative risk/reward setup alongside overbought technicals and elevated short interest.

Thesis pillars

  • High Fcf Yield Despite Quality GapStable
  • Target Reached Negative AsymmetryStable
  • Overbought MomentumStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Edgewell Personal Care Company (EPC) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.00: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.64; Below-average business quality.

Edgewell Personal Care Company is one of the world's largest manufacturers and marketers of personal care products across Wet Shave (Schick, Wilkinson Sword, Edge, Billie), Sun and Skin Care (Banana Boat, Hawaiian Tropic, Bulldog, Jack Black, Cremo), and Feminine Care (Playtex,... Read more

$26.00+5.6% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#14 of 18 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield19.14%
IncomeYield2.21%(5y avg 1.84%)Payout545.45%at-risk
Stop $24.18Target $27.45(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$24.50-5.8%6 analysts
$27.45our TP
$26.00price
$24.50mean
$21
$32

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.00: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.64; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08

Recent Developments — Edgewell Personal Care Company

Generated 2026-07-08T22:53:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-18.0% upside)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)13.0
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA8.0
Profit Mgn-3.5%
ROE-0.7%
Rev Growth0.6%
Beta0.39
Dividend2.21%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.64bearish
IV96%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerWalmart Inc.17%
    10-K Item 1: 'Walmart accounted for approximately 17.4% of our net sales in fiscal 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Paul R. Hibbert will cease serving as Edgewell's Chief Supply Chain Officer effective June 1, 2026 and will be eligible for severance benefits under the company's Executive Severance Plan. Anthony Freve will join Edgewell as Chief Supply Chain Officer effective the same date, as announced May 26, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.3
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.9
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
2.1
Operating Margin
3.7
Moat
3.9
Gross Margin
4.2
Fcf Quality
6.0
Current Ratio
6.4
Piotroski F
8.9
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 11%, FCF yield 19.1%)No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.14Resistance $28.01

Price Targets

$24
$27
A.Upside+5.6%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.00: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.64; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $24.18. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.45 (+5.6% upside). Prior stop was $24.18. Stop-loss: $24.18.

What are the risks of investing in EPC?

Target reached (-18.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is EPC overvalued or undervalued?

Edgewell Personal Care Company trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EPC?

11 analysts cover EPC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $25.

What does Edgewell Personal Care Company do?Edgewell Personal Care Company is one of the world's largest manufacturers and marketers of personal care products...

Edgewell Personal Care Company is one of the world's largest manufacturers and marketers of personal care products across Wet Shave (Schick, Wilkinson Sword, Edge, Billie), Sun and Skin Care (Banana Boat, Hawaiian Tropic, Bulldog, Jack Black, Cremo), and Feminine Care (Playtex, Stayfree, Carefree, o.b.) segments, with operations in approximately 20 countries and products sold in more than 50. Walmart accounted for approximately 17.4% of fiscal 2025 net sales, and on November 6, 2025 the company's board approved selling the Feminine Care segment for $340.0 million.

Related stocks: IPAR (Interparfums, Inc.) · SPB (Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.) · ELF (e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.) · HELE (Helen of Troy Limited) · COTY (Coty Inc.)
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Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga10h agoAnalyst
Benzinga1d agoAnalyst