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SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.Hold5.6·$83.30-0.63%
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Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $83.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC).

Spectrum Brands Holdings is a diversified global consumer products company with three segments: Global Pet Care (companion animals, aquatics, dog/cat food), Home & Garden (pest control, repellents, cleaning), and Home & Personal Care (small appliances, personal care devices).... Read more

$83.30+0.3% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#4 of 13 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield11.44%
IncomeYield2.24%(5y avg 2.39%)Payout36.72%sustainable
Stop $78.44Target $83.52(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$87.43+5.0%7 analysts
$83.52our TP
$83.30price
$87.43mean
$80
$100

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $83.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.4
P/E (Fwd)15.3
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn4.5%
ROE6.6%
Rev Growth4.9%
Beta0.65
Dividend2.24%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.31bullish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$40-52.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerHome Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment)64%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart, representing approximately 64% segment sales for the year ended September 30, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerAmazon and Walmart (HPC segment)42%
    10-K Item 1: 'Amazon and Walmart, representing approximately 42% of segment sales for the year ended September 30, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerAmazon and Walmart (GPC segment)34%
    10-K Item 1: 'Amazon and Walmart, representing approximately 34% of segment sales for the year ended September 30, 2025.'
  • HIGHSupplierAPAC third-party manufacturers (HPC)
    10-K Item 1: 'Substantially all segment products are manufactured by third-party suppliers located in the APAC region'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $71.20Resistance $85.22

Price Targets

$78
$84
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SPB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $83.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $83.52 (+0.3%), stop $78.44 (−6.2%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SPB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.52 (+0.3% upside). Target $83.52 (+0.3%), stop $78.44 (−6.2%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $78.44.

What are the risks of investing in SPB?

Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is SPB overvalued or undervalued?

Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.4 (forward 15.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SPB?

13 analysts cover SPB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $87.

What does Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. do?Spectrum Brands Holdings is a diversified global consumer products company with three segments: Global Pet Care...

Spectrum Brands Holdings is a diversified global consumer products company with three segments: Global Pet Care (companion animals, aquatics, dog/cat food), Home & Garden (pest control, repellents, cleaning), and Home & Personal Care (small appliances, personal care devices). Products are sold through mass merchandisers, home improvement centers, and e-commerce; a spin-off of the HPC segment is under exploration.

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