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NWLNewell Brands Inc.Sell4.9·$4.88+5.64%
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Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.88: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00; Below-average business quality.

Newell Brands Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sourcing, and distribution of consumer and commercial products worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Home and Commercial Solutions, Learning and Development, and Outdoor and Recreation. The Commercial Solutions... Read more

$4.88-0.4% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#12 of 13 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield20.69%
IncomeYield5.70%(5y avg 5.33%)Payout195.74%at-risk
Stop $4.58Target $4.90(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$4.94+1.2%8 analysts
$4.90our TP
$4.88price
$4.94mean
$4
$9

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.88: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 47d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 202647d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-12.7% upside)
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)7.4
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA9.5
Profit Mgn-3.9%
ROE-11.2%
Rev Growth-1.1%
Beta1.00
Dividend5.70%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C4.00bearish
IV87%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.4
52w Position
5.7

Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.1
Roa
1.8
Moat
2.5
Gross Margin
2.8
Current Ratio
4.1
Piotroski F
5.6
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Volatile — 5.8% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
1.7
Debt Equity
2.6
Days To Cover
4.0
Beta
7.0
High short interest justified: 18%Elevated put/call: 4.00High IV: 87%
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 47d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.20Resistance $5.00

Price Targets

$5
$5
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (47d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NWL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.88: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Prior stop was $4.58. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NWL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $4.90 (-0.4% upside). Prior stop was $4.58. Stop-loss: $4.58.

What are the risks of investing in NWL?

Target reached (-12.7% upside); Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is NWL overvalued or undervalued?

Newell Brands Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NWL?

13 analysts cover NWL with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $5.

What does Newell Brands Inc. do?Newell Brands Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sourcing, and distribution of consumer and commercial products...

Newell Brands Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sourcing, and distribution of consumer and commercial products worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Home and Commercial Solutions, Learning and Development, and Outdoor and Recreation. The Commercial Solutions segment provides commercial cleaning and maintenance solution products under the Rubbermaid, Rubbermaid Commercial Products, Mapa, and Spontex brands; closet and garage organization products; hygiene systems and material handling solutions; household products, such as kitchen appliances under the Crockpot, Mr. Coffee, Oster, and Sunbeam brands; small appliances under the Breville brand name in Europe; food and home storage products under the FoodSaver, Rubbermaid, Ball, and Sistema brands; fresh preserving products; vacuum sealing products; and gourmet cookware, bakeware, and cutlery under the Calphalon brand; and home fragrance products under the Chesapeake Bay, WoodWick, and Yankee Candle brands. The Learning and Development segment offers writing instruments, including markers and highlighters, pens, and pencils; art products; activity-based products; labeling solutions; and baby gear and infant care products under the Dymo, Elmer's, EXPO, Graco, NUK, Paper Mate, Parker, and Sharpie brands. The Outdoor and Recreation segment provides outdoor and outdoor-related products, inlcuding technical apparel and on-the-go beverageware under the Bubba, Campingaz, Coleman, Contigo, and Marmot brands. It serves large mass merchandisers, discount stores, home centers, warehouse clubs, office superstores, direct-to-consumer channels, specialty retailers and wholesalers, commercial distributors and e-commerce retailers, grocery stores, and sporting goods, as well as direct to consumers online, select contract customers, and other professional customers. The company was founded in 1903 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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