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MAGNMagnera CorporationSell5.2·$12.41-1.43%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Magnera trades at a statistically cheap valuation (7.5x forward P/E), but declining revenue, a death-cross technical breakdown, and an inconsistent earnings record all support the engine's quality-floor exit signal.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Forward ValuationStable
  • Revenue Decline Quality FloorStable
  • Death Cross Technical BreakdownStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Magnera Corporation (MAGN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.41: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.50; Below-average business quality.

Magnera Corporation, formed by the November 2024 merger of Berry Global's Treasure Holdco with Glatfelter Corporation, is a global supplier of specialty nonwoven and fiber-based materials used in wipes, healthcare, adult incontinence, baby diapers, feminine care, air filtration,... Read more

$12.41+3.1% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#12 of 18 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield44.49%
Stop $11.54Target $12.79(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$14.50+16.8%2 analysts
$12.79our TP
$12.41price
$14.50mean
$16

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.41: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Magnera Corporation

About Magnera Corporation

Magnera Corporation, formed in November 2024 when Berry Global's Treasure Holdco merged with Glatfelter Corporation, operates 45 manufacturing facilities worldwide split between its Americas segment (57% of consolidated net sales) and Rest of World segment (43%). The Americas segment runs 22 plants across the U.S., Brazil, Mexico, Canada, and Colombia, while Rest of World operates 23 plants concentrated in Germany, France, the United Kingdom, China, and Spain, together employing approximately 8,500 people to supply specialty nonwoven materials for wipes, healthcare, diapers, and filtration end markets.

Magnera reaches customers through a direct sales force serving a mix of leading global and national brands, private-label manufacturers, and small to mid-sized regional businesses across disposable and durable consumer end markets, including wipes, healthcare, adult incontinence, baby diapers, feminine care, apparel, and air filtration, plus technical solutions for infrastructure applications. The company's primary raw material inputs - polymer resin, wood-based fibers, and pulps - are subject to price volatility that Magnera says it typically passes through to customers via contractual pricing mechanisms over time. Magnera competes against Ahlstrom, Avgol, Mativ, PFNonwovens, and Freudenberg in markets it describes as highly competitive on service, innovation, quality, and price. Reflecting its formation, pre-merger Treasure shareholders hold 90% of combined Magnera shares, with legacy Glatfelter shareholders holding the remaining 10%.

Show full overview

Magnera's post-merger integration carries a financial-reporting risk distinct from its commodity input exposure: the company has identified material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting tied to the Transaction, including information technology general controls on legacy Berry U.S. systems it continues to rely on during the integration period, incomplete control documentation, and evaluation of deferred tax asset realizability. Management is remediating through IT platform migration and standardized control procedures, but as of the filing date cannot yet certify these measures fully mitigate the risk of a material misstatement, an unusual disclosure for a company of Magnera's scale roughly 18 months after closing its formative merger.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

From Magnera Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Americas segment (57.0%)
Target reached (-0.7% upside)
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)7.5
Mkt Cap$452M
EV/EBITDA6.6
Profit Mgn-3.4%
ROE-10.3%
Rev Growth-3.4%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C3.50bearish
IV84%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductAmericas segment57%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Americas segment is the Company's largest segment, accounting for 57% of consolidated net sales.'
  • MEDIUMProductRest of World segment43%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Rest of World segment represents 43% of our consolidated net sales.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Volatility
1.0
Days To Cover
2.4
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Debt Equity
3.2
Short Interest
6.0
Elevated put/call: 3.50High IV: 84%Above max pain $2Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.3
Operating Margin
1.7
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
8.0
No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.2
Quality Rank
2.6
Value Rank
9.4
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.26Resistance $13.05

Price Targets

$12
$13
A.Upside+3.1%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAGN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.41: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $11.54. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MAGN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.79 (+3.1% upside). Prior stop was $11.54. Stop-loss: $11.54.

What are the risks of investing in MAGN?

Concentration risk — Product: Americas segment (57.0%); Target reached (-0.7% upside); Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is MAGN overvalued or undervalued?

Magnera Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MAGN?

7 analysts cover MAGN with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Magnera Corporation do?Magnera Corporation, formed by the November 2024 merger of Berry Global's Treasure Holdco with Glatfelter Corporation,...

Magnera Corporation, formed by the November 2024 merger of Berry Global's Treasure Holdco with Glatfelter Corporation, is a global supplier of specialty nonwoven and fiber-based materials used in wipes, healthcare, adult incontinence, baby diapers, feminine care, air filtration, and food and beverage applications. The company operates 45 manufacturing facilities across its Americas (57% of net sales) and Rest of World (43%) segments, serving global and national brands, private label, and regional customers with roughly 8,500 employees. Input costs for polymer resin, wood-based fibers, and pulp

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