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HELEHelen of Troy LimitedSell5.9·$29.31
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Helen of Troy screens deeply cheap and shows constructive technical momentum, but business quality has fallen below the minimum acceptable floor and the risk/reward setup is unfavorable with an earnings report just days away.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Technical Momentum↑Improving
  • Negative Risk Reward At Target→Stable
  • Quality Below Minimum Floor→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Apr 23, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Helen of Troy Limited (HELE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.31: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 20.15; Below-average business quality.

Helen of Troy Limited is a Bermuda-incorporated consumer products company operating through Home & Outdoor (OXO, Hydro Flask, Osprey) and Beauty & Wellness (Vicks, Braun, Honeywell, PUR, Drybar, Curlsmith, Revlon) segments, selling in about 100 countries. The company relies on... Read more

$29.31-8.2% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#3 of 18 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield16.31%
Stop $27.26Analyst target $26.92(reached)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst consensus$31.67+8.0%3 analysts
$29.31price
$31.67mean
$26
$40

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.31: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 20.15; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 7, 202769d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-8.2% upside)
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)7.2
Mkt Cap$686M
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn-5.4%
ROE-11.1%
Rev Growth2.1%
Beta1.34
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C20.15bearish
IV72%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Unprofitable operations — net margin -5.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.2
Roa
1.9
Moat
3.9
Gross Margin
5.2
Fcf Quality
5.2
Current Ratio
5.9
Piotroski F
8.9
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 6%, FCF yield 16.3%)No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.69Resistance $31.98

Price Targets

A.Upside-8.2%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-07 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HELE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.31: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 20.15; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $27.26. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HELE stock price target?

Analyst target $26.92 reached (−8.2% from $29.31); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $27.26. Stop-loss: $27.26.

What are the risks of investing in HELE?

Target reached (-8.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is HELE overvalued or undervalued?

Helen of Troy Limited trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HELE?

10 analysts cover HELE with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Helen of Troy Limited do?Helen of Troy Limited is a Bermuda-incorporated consumer products company operating through Home & Outdoor (OXO, Hydro...

Helen of Troy Limited is a Bermuda-incorporated consumer products company operating through Home & Outdoor (OXO, Hydro Flask, Osprey) and Beauty & Wellness (Vicks, Braun, Honeywell, PUR, Drybar, Curlsmith, Revlon) segments, selling in about 100 countries. The company relies on unaffiliated Asian manufacturers for roughly 83% of finished goods purchased in fiscal 2026, and its top five customers, led by Amazon (20%), Walmart (13%) and Target (12%), accounted for approximately 50% of consolidated net sales.

Related stocks: SPB (Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.) · ELF (e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.) · NWL (Newell Brands Inc.) · IPAR (Interparfums, Inc.) · MAGN (Magnera Corporation)
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