Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Sell if holding. At $157.02, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.3): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 6.0%.
Brinker International owns, operates, and franchises Chili's Grill & Bar and Maggiano's Little Italy, with Chili's operating in 49 U.S. states and 27 other countries. In fiscal 2025, Company-owned Chili's averaged $4.5M in net sales per restaurant at ~$21.90 per guest;... Read more
Sell if holding. At $157.02, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.3): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 6.0%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Brinker International, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Why Brinker International Stock Is Losing Steam - TipRanks — TipRanks negative
- NEWS EAT Stock Update: FY26 Revenue and Capital Expenditure Projectio - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS Brinker International (EAT) Q3 Earnings Surpass Estimates - Yahoo! Finance Canada — Yahoo! Finance Canada positive
- NEWS Brinker International (EAT) Q3 Earnings Surpass Estimates - Yahoo Finance Australia — Yahoo Finance Australia positive
- NEWS Brinker International (EAT) Q3 Earnings Surpass Estimates - Yahoo Finance UK — Yahoo Finance UK positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicTexas19%10-K Item 1A: 'A high concentration of our Company-owned restaurants are located in Texas, Florida and California comprising 18.9%, 11.8% and 9.2%, respectively, as of June 25, 2025.'
- LOWGeographicFlorida12%10-K Item 1A: 'A high concentration of our Company-owned restaurants are located in Texas, Florida and California comprising 18.9%, 11.8% and 9.2%, respectively, as of June 25, 2025.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-02Item 5.02LOWGeorge Felix promoted to Executive Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer effective February 26, 2026, with annual base salary of $600,000 and 75% target bonus. Previously served as SVP and CMO for Chili's brand since July 2022.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $157.02, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.3): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 6.0%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $145.99. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $166.41 (+6.0% upside). Prior stop was $145.99. Stop-loss: $145.99.
Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.3): -1.5; Weak growth.
Brinker International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.5 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
27 analysts cover EAT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $185.
What does Brinker International, Inc. do?Brinker International owns, operates, and franchises Chili's Grill & Bar and Maggiano's Little Italy, with Chili's...
Brinker International owns, operates, and franchises Chili's Grill & Bar and Maggiano's Little Italy, with Chili's operating in 49 U.S. states and 27 other countries. In fiscal 2025, Company-owned Chili's averaged $4.5M in net sales per restaurant at ~$21.90 per guest; Maggiano's averaged $9.9M per location. The Chili's brand generates the majority of company revenues.