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DIODDiodes IncorporatedSell5.8·$113.41+4.29%
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Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $113.41 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia.

Diodes Incorporated designs and manufactures standard semiconductor products — including discrete, analog, mixed-signal, and logic devices — serving automotive, industrial, computing, consumer, and communications markets globally. The company generated $1.48 billion in net sales... Read more

$113.41+5.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#11 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.91%
Stop $105.36Target $119.52(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$129.50+14.2%2 analysts
$119.52our TP
$113.41price
$129.50mean
$139

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $113.41 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and SEC filing concern. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Diodes Incorporated

About Diodes Incorporated

Diodes Incorporated shipped approximately 45 billion units in 2025, generating $1.48 billion in net sales — a 13% year-over-year increase and the company's strongest growth rate since 2021. Revenue was heavily weighted toward Asia, which accounted for $1.16 billion of net sales in 2025, with computing applications — including AI server, storage, and cloud infrastructure — rising to 27% of product revenue, up from 23% in 2023.

The company sells through a hybrid channel: 65% of 2025 net sales passed through distributors, with the remaining 35% from direct and EMS customers. Its product portfolio spans over 28,000 SKUs, including MOSFETs, protection devices, Schottky diodes, power management ICs, analog amplifiers, and frequency control components. Five end-markets divide the revenue base — computing (27%), industrial (23%), automotive (19%), consumer (18%), and communications (13%) in 2025. Capital expenditures totaled $78.4 million in 2025, directed at wafer fabrication facilities in China, Great Britain, Taiwan, and the United States, including a 200mm fab in South Portland, Maine acquired from onsemi in June 2022. Named competitors include Infineon Technologies, NXP Semiconductors, ON Semiconductor, Vishay Intertechnology, and Texas Instruments, all of which are larger organizations with broader product lines.

Show full overview

Tariff exposure is the most explicitly flagged operational risk in the 2025 10-K, which states that government-imposed tariffs on imported raw materials and components could disrupt the supply chain, raise production costs, and reduce competitiveness in global markets — with no assurance those costs could be passed through to customers. This exposure may weigh on margins given the company's China-heavy assembly and wafer fabrication footprint. In March 2026, Diodes disclosed via Form 8-K the dismissal of Baker Tilly US, LLP as independent auditor and the engagement of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP for fiscal year 2026, a governance development the company stated involved no disagreements or reportable events.

See also: Technology · Semiconductors

From Diodes Incorporated's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Diodes Incorporated

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.4): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)58.8
P/E (Fwd)21.8
Mkt Cap$5.0B
EV/EBITDA24.0
Profit Mgn5.5%
ROE4.6%
Rev Growth22.1%
Beta1.90
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV91%elevated
Max Pain$23-80.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAsia
    10-K Item 1: 'Asia ... 1,156,823 ... Total net sales ... 1,482,073'
  • MEDIUMProductComputing27%
    10-K Item 1: 'Computing ... 27%'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-12Item 5.02LOW
    Director Dr. Keh-Shew Lu voluntarily resigned from the Board on May 11, 2026 after receiving more 'withheld' votes than 'for' votes at the 2026 Annual Meeting. Resignation not due to any disagreement with company operations, policies, or practices. No successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-11Item 4.01HIGH
    Audit Committee dismissed Baker Tilly US, LLP as independent auditor effective March 5, 2026. No adverse opinions, disagreements, or reportable events in fiscal years 2025 or 2024. PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP engaged as new auditor for fiscal year 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVESEC critical: Momentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $91.02Resistance $121.96

Price Targets

$105
$120
A.Upside+5.4%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Critical SEC filing

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DIOD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $113.41 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $105.36. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DIOD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $119.52 (+5.5% upside). Prior stop was $105.36. Stop-loss: $105.36.

What are the risks of investing in DIOD?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.4): -1.5.

Is DIOD overvalued or undervalued?

Diodes Incorporated trades at a P/E of 58.8 (forward 21.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DIOD?

9 analysts cover DIOD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $130.

What does Diodes Incorporated do?Diodes Incorporated designs and manufactures standard semiconductor products — including discrete, analog,...

Diodes Incorporated designs and manufactures standard semiconductor products — including discrete, analog, mixed-signal, and logic devices — serving automotive, industrial, computing, consumer, and communications markets globally. The company generated $1.48 billion in net sales in 2025 (up 13% from 2024), shipping approximately 45 billion units across more than 50,000 customers via a mix of direct sales and distributor channels.

Related stocks: CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · SKYT (SkyWater Technology, Inc.) · CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.) · SITM (SiTime Corporation)
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