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DIODDiodes IncorporatedHold6.1·$89.30
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Diodes Incorporated has delivered strong earnings execution and exceptional cash conversion, but the current price sits near technical resistance with a risk/reward ratio of roughly 0.8-to-1, elevated leverage at a debt-to-equity of 5.4, and heavy geographic concentration in Asia — a combination that supports holding but not adding at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Earnings Growth→Stable
  • Leverage Overhang↑Improving
  • Earnings Beat Cadence↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 10, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $89.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Diodes Incorporated designs and manufactures standard semiconductor products — including discrete, analog, mixed-signal, and logic devices — serving automotive, industrial, computing, consumer, and communications markets globally. The company generated $1.48 billion in net sales... Read more

$89.30+35.6% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#22 of 53 Semiconductors
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.30%
Stop $83.05Analyst target $121.13(−15% haircut)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst consensus$142.50+59.6%4 analysts
$121.13Analyst target
$89.30price
$142.50mean
$192

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $89.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and SEC filing concern and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Diodes Incorporated

About Diodes Incorporated

Diodes Incorporated shipped approximately 45 billion units in 2025, generating $1.48 billion in net sales — a 13% year-over-year increase and the company's strongest growth rate since 2021. Revenue was heavily weighted toward Asia, which accounted for $1.16 billion of net sales in 2025, with computing applications — including AI server, storage, and cloud infrastructure — rising to 27% of product revenue, up from 23% in 2023.

The company sells through a hybrid channel: 65% of 2025 net sales passed through distributors, with the remaining 35% from direct and EMS customers. Its product portfolio spans over 28,000 SKUs, including MOSFETs, protection devices, Schottky diodes, power management ICs, analog amplifiers, and frequency control components. Five end-markets divide the revenue base — computing (27%), industrial (23%), automotive (19%), consumer (18%), and communications (13%) in 2025. Capital expenditures totaled $78.4 million in 2025, directed at wafer fabrication facilities in China, Great Britain, Taiwan, and the United States, including a 200mm fab in South Portland, Maine acquired from onsemi in June 2022. Named competitors include Infineon Technologies, NXP Semiconductors, ON Semiconductor, Vishay Intertechnology, and Texas Instruments, all of which are larger organizations with broader product lines.

Show full overview

Tariff exposure is the most explicitly flagged operational risk in the 2025 10-K, which states that government-imposed tariffs on imported raw materials and components could disrupt the supply chain, raise production costs, and reduce competitiveness in global markets — with no assurance those costs could be passed through to customers. This exposure may weigh on margins given the company's China-heavy assembly and wafer fabrication footprint. In March 2026, Diodes disclosed via Form 8-K the dismissal of Baker Tilly US, LLP as independent auditor and the engagement of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP for fiscal year 2026, a governance development the company stated involved no disagreements or reportable events.

See also: Technology · Semiconductors

From Diodes Incorporated's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)47.8
P/E (Fwd)16.1
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA17.3
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE4.7%
Rev Growth21.7%
Beta1.90
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.72bearish
IV80%elevated
Max Pain$45-49.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAsia
    10-K Item 1: 'Asia ... 1,156,823 ... Total net sales ... 1,482,073'
  • MEDIUMProductComputing27%
    10-K Item 1: 'Computing ... 27%'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-12Item 5.02LOW
    Director Dr. Keh-Shew Lu voluntarily resigned from the Board on May 11, 2026 after receiving more 'withheld' votes than 'for' votes at the 2026 Annual Meeting. Resignation not due to any disagreement with company operations, policies, or practices. No successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-11Item 4.01HIGH
    Audit Committee dismissed Baker Tilly US, LLP as independent auditor effective March 5, 2026. No adverse opinions, disagreements, or reportable events in fiscal years 2025 or 2024. PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP engaged as new auditor for fiscal year 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5SEC critical: EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $80.22Resistance $110.86

Price Targets

$83
$121
A.Upside+35.6%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Critical SEC filing

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DIOD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $89.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $121.13 (+35.6%), stop $83.05 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DIOD stock price target?

Analyst target: $121.13 (+35.6% upside). Analyst target $121.13 (+35.6%), stop $83.05 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Stop-loss: $83.05.

What are the risks of investing in DIOD?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is DIOD overvalued or undervalued?

Diodes Incorporated trades at a P/E of 47.8 (forward 16.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DIOD?

9 analysts cover DIOD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $143.

What does Diodes Incorporated do?Diodes Incorporated designs and manufactures standard semiconductor products — including discrete, analog,...

Diodes Incorporated designs and manufactures standard semiconductor products — including discrete, analog, mixed-signal, and logic devices — serving automotive, industrial, computing, consumer, and communications markets globally. The company generated $1.48 billion in net sales in 2025 (up 13% from 2024), shipping approximately 45 billion units across more than 50,000 customers via a mix of direct sales and distributor channels.

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