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NVECNVE CorporationHold4.6·$82.37
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

NVE Corporation is a high-quality, high-margin niche semiconductor business, but the stock's rich valuation, elevated leverage, and dividend safety warning temper the otherwise strong fundamental profile.

Thesis pillars

  • Expensive Valuation↑Improving
  • High Quality High Roe Business↓Deteriorating
  • Leverage Penalty Flagged↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed May 6, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

NVE Corporation (NVEC) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

HoldQualityShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $399M below $400M minimum.

NVE Corporation develops and manufactures spintronic sensors, couplers and MRAM memory products for industrial, medical and factory-automation applications, operating its own U.S. wafer fabrication and test facility in Minnesota. The company relies on several large customers,... Read more

$82.37+40.0% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#50 of 53 Semiconductors
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.89%
IncomeYield4.86%(5y avg 5.44%)Payout108.40%at-risk
Stop $76.60Resistance target $115.30A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $399M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $399M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About NVE Corporation

About NVE Corporation

NVE Corporation manufactures spintronic sensors, couplers and MRAM memory devices, relying on several large customers, including Abbott Laboratories, distributors and private-brand partners, for a significant percentage of revenue as of its March 31, 2026 fiscal year end. The Minnesota-based company, founded in 1989, has been awarded more than $50 million in government research contracts since inception and employed 42 people, 40 of them full-time, as of fiscal year end.

NVE earns revenue from three product lines: magnetic sensors used in factory automation, robotics and implantable medical devices; couplers that electrically isolate and transmit data between electronic subsystems in power conversion and industrial networking applications; and low-bit-density MRAM aimed at military, industrial and antitamper markets. The company operates its own front-end wafer fabrication and back-end testing facility, which it considers an advantage over competitors that outsource manufacturing, though most of its device packaging services take place in Asia. NVE sells through distributors including America II Electronics, Angst+Pfister Sensors and Power, and Digi-Key, supplemented by private-brand partnerships with large integrated device manufacturers.

Show full overview

NVE announced on June 22, 2026 that President and CEO Daniel A. Baker will retire effective at the August 6, 2026 annual meeting, to be succeeded by Peter Eames, the company's Vice President of Advanced Technology since 2016, with Baker remaining as Board chairman pending shareholder approval. The leadership change comes as the company continues to disclose reliance on several large customers, including Abbott Laboratories, for a significant percentage of revenue, a concentration the 10-K says could materially harm results if one or more of these customers were lost.

See also: Technology · Semiconductors

From NVE Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 20, 202783d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Market cap $399M below $400M minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.3
P/E (Fwd)29.1
Mkt Cap$399M
EV/EBITDA19.1
Profit Mgn58.1%
ROE30.4%
Rev Growth-8.1%
Beta1.29
Dividend4.86%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerAbbott Laboratories and other large customers
    10-K Item 1: 'We rely on several large customers for a significant percentage of our revenue, including Abbott Laboratories, certain distributors, and certain other customers.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierpackaging services in Asia
    10-K Item 1: 'We have worldwide wafer sources; most of our packaging services take place in Asia.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    NVE Corporation announced CEO Daniel A. Baker will retire effective at the August 6, 2026 annual meeting, succeeded by Peter Eames, currently VP of Advanced Technology; Baker will remain Board chairman, a clean planned handoff.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -8.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.5
Earnings Growth
1.1
Declining revenue: -8%

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.5
Ps
1.4
Forward Pe
4.2
Pe
5.8
Forward P/E: 29.1x

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.4
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+7.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5INSIDER 0.74%=EXTREMEA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $67.01Resistance $117.65

Price Targets

$77
$115
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $399M below $400M minimum
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 0.74%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-20 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NVEC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $399M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $399M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Resistance target $115.30 (+40.0%), stop $76.60 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NVEC stock price target?

Resistance target: $115.30 (+40.0% upside). Resistance target $115.30 (+40.0%), stop $76.60 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $76.60.

What are the risks of investing in NVEC?

Market cap $399M below $400M minimum.

Is NVEC overvalued or undervalued?

NVE Corporation trades at a P/E of 22.3 (forward 29.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NVEC?

6 analysts cover NVEC with a consensus score of 2.2/5.

What does NVE Corporation do?NVE Corporation develops and manufactures spintronic sensors, couplers and MRAM memory products for industrial, medical...

NVE Corporation develops and manufactures spintronic sensors, couplers and MRAM memory products for industrial, medical and factory-automation applications, operating its own U.S. wafer fabrication and test facility in Minnesota. The company relies on several large customers, including Abbott Laboratories, distributors and private-brand partners, for a significant percentage of its revenue, and had 42 employees as of March 31, 2026, its fiscal year end.

Related stocks: MRAM (Everspin Technologies, Inc.) · AMBQ (Ambiq Micro, Inc.) · LAES (SEALSQ Corp) · LASR (nLIGHT, Inc.) · AIP (Arteris, Inc.)
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