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CNXCNX Resources CorporationBuy Wait7.0·$33.20+0.14%
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CNX Resources Corporation (CNX) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Wait for pullback to $31.28. At $33.20 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $31.28 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas production (92.0%).

CNX Resources is an Appalachian Basin natural gas E&P and midstream company focused on Marcellus and Utica Shale in Pennsylvania, Ohio, and West Virginia, plus coalbed methane operations in Virginia. Production reached 629 net Bcfe in 2025 (92% natural gas) against 9.7 Tcfe of... Read more

$33.20+8.1% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#3 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.72%
Entry $31.28(Rr Min Solve Sticky)Stop $29.59Target $33.77(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1Setup A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$38.82+16.9%11 analysts
$33.77our TP
$33.20price
$38.82mean
$49

Wait for pullback to $31.28. At $33.20 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $31.28 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas production (92.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (1.8% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About CNX Resources Corporation

About CNX Resources Corporation

CNX Resources produced 629 net Bcfe in 2025—total average output of 1,723,178 Mcfe per day—from Marcellus Shale and Utica Shale formations in Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Ohio, plus coalbed methane properties in Virginia. The production mix was 92% natural gas and 8% liquids against 9.7 Tcfe of proved reserves at December 31, 2025, with 89.5% natural gas. CNX completed the $518 million acquisition of Apex Energy II's upstream and midstream assets on January 27, 2025.

CNX earns revenue from natural gas and NGL sales at market prices primarily under short-term contracts to gas marketers, industrial customers, local distribution companies, and power generation facilities in the Appalachian Basin. The company owns approximately 2,600 miles of natural gas gathering pipelines—Shale gathering systems in Pennsylvania and West Virginia are wholly owned, while Ohio Shale gathering is contracted to third parties. A significant portion of gas is sold through three pipeline systems: Texas Eastern Transmission, Columbia Gas Transmission, and Eastern Gas Transmission & Storage. Average gas lifting cost was $0.15 per Mcfe in 2025 (excluding ad valorem and severance taxes), while average realized gas price excluding hedging was $2.99 per Mcf. NGL volumes are sold to major midstream processors and through direct in-kind sales at plant tailgates. CNX expects 2026 capital expenditures of $556 million to $586 million, weighted toward Shale segment development.

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CNX's hedge book as of January 8, 2026 covers approximately 448.8 Bcf of 2026 estimated production at an average price of $2.74 per Mcf, 379.3 Bcf of 2027 production at $3.28 per Mcf, and 186.5 Bcf of 2028 production at $3.25 per Mcf—against 2026 sales guidance of 605 to 620 Bcfe. The Appalachian Basin structural discount to Henry Hub is an explicit 10-K risk: the company notes this negative basis 'is forecasted to continue in future years for all Appalachian Basin producers' and could widen if pipeline projects to move gas out of the basin are delayed, cancelled, or denied.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

From CNX Resources Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin
Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas production (92.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.4
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA3.3
Profit Mgn52.7%
ROE28.1%
Rev Growth28.2%
Beta0.58
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV90%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAppalachian Basin
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our producing properties are geographically concentrated in the Appalachian Basin, which exacerbates the impact of regional supply and demand factors on our business'
  • HIGHCommoditynatural gas production92%
    10-K Item 1: '92% Natural Gas, 8% Liquids'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartythree pipeline systems
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our natural gas is sold on or through three pipeline systems, Texas Eastern Transmission, Columbia Gas Transmission, and Eastern Gas Transmission & Storage'
  • MEDIUMhedge_coveragehedging arrangements
    10-K Item 1A: 'CNX enters into hedging arrangements ... approximately 448.8 Bcf of our estimated 2026 production at an average price of $2.74 per Mcf'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.07Resistance $37.58

Price Targets

$30
$31
$34
A.Upside+1.7%
A.R:R0.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.8% upside)
! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNX stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $31.28. At $33.20 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $31.28 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas production (92.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (1.8% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $33.77 (+1.7%), stop $29.59 (−12.2%), Setup A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.77 (+8.1% upside). Target $33.77 (+1.7%), stop $29.59 (−12.2%), Setup A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $29.59.

What are the risks of investing in CNX?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas production (92.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CNX overvalued or undervalued?

CNX Resources Corporation trades at a P/E of 4.4 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about CNX?

19 analysts cover CNX with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $39.

What does CNX Resources Corporation do?CNX Resources is an Appalachian Basin natural gas E&P and midstream company focused on Marcellus and Utica Shale in...

CNX Resources is an Appalachian Basin natural gas E&P and midstream company focused on Marcellus and Utica Shale in Pennsylvania, Ohio, and West Virginia, plus coalbed methane operations in Virginia. Production reached 629 net Bcfe in 2025 (92% natural gas) against 9.7 Tcfe of proved reserves, supported by approximately 2,600 miles of owned gathering pipelines.

Related stocks: GPOR (Gulfport Energy Corporation) · DMLP (Dorchester Minerals, L.P.) · AR (Antero Resources Corporation) · EXE (Expand Energy Corporation) · BKV (BKV Corporation)
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