A high-quality consumer franchise with a perfect four-quarter earnings-beat streak and free cash flow that exceeds net income has run above its near-term price target, leaving a marginally unfavorable risk/reward with downside slightly exceeding residual upside; the investment case rests on the quality and consistency of the business, but the current price offers little entry cushion.
Thesis pillars
- Consistent Earnings Delivery→Stable
- Price Above Near Term Target→Stable
- Elevated Leverage Limits Flexibility↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL) Stock Analysis
Oversold Bounce setup · Temporary headwind edge
Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 13.9): -1.5.
Colgate-Palmolive markets oral, personal, home care, and pet nutrition products across 200+ countries, with Oral Care (Colgate, elmex, Tom's of Maine) at 44% and Pet Nutrition (Hill's) at 23% of 2025 net sales. Walmart represented approximately 11% of net sales in 2025, the only... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 13.9): -1.5. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 28, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 47d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and 8k serious 2.05. Suitability: conservative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-14Recent Developments — Colgate-Palmolive Company
Latest news
- NEWS Charter Communications Inc. Cl A stock outperforms competitors on strong trading day - MarketWatch — MarketWatch positive
- NEWS Accenture PLC Cl A stock outperforms competitors on strong trading day - MarketWatch — MarketWatch positive
- NEWS CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. Cl A stock falls Wednesday, still outperforms market - MarketWatch — MarketWatch neutral
- NEWS Royal Bank of Canada Grows Stock Holdings in Colgate-Palmolive Company $CL - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Ahead of Colgate-Palmolive’s (CL) Q1 Results, Here’s What Technical Indicators Are Suggesting - TipRanks — TipRanks neutral
Generated 2026-09-14T07:57:08Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerWalmart11%10-K Item 1: 'Our sales to Walmart, Inc. and its affiliates represented approximately 11% of our Net sales in 2025.'
- MEDIUMProductOral Care44%10-K Item 1: 'Sales of Oral, Personal and Home Care products accounted for 44%, 17% and 16%, respectively, of our total worldwide Net sales in 2025.'
- MEDIUMSuppliersingle-source suppliers10-K Item 1: 'We do, however, purchase certain key raw and packaging materials from single-source suppliers or a limited number of suppliers'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-01Item 2.05MEDIUMUpdate on Strategic Growth and Productivity Program (Board-approved July 31, 2025): three-year initiative to realign organizational structure in support of 2030 strategy. Filing discloses costs associated with exit or disposal activities; specific charge amount truncated in available excerpt.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-09Item 5.02MEDIUMJennifer M. Daniels (CLO and Secretary since 2014) announced retirement in 2026. Betsy Fishbone (EVP and Deputy CLO) elected CLO and Secretary effective June 1, 2026; Daniels transitions to Vice Chair for orderly handoff.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-12Item 5.02LOWChristopher S. Boerner, Ph.D. (CEO and Board Chair of Bristol-Myers Squibb) elected to Colgate-Palmolive Board, effective March 15, 2026. Board appointment only; no officer change.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 13.9): -1.5. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 28, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $89.06 (+2.6%), stop $83.79 (−3.6%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $89.06 (+2.6% upside). Target $89.06 (+2.6%), stop $83.79 (−3.6%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $83.79.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 13.9): -1.5; Weak growth.
Colgate-Palmolive Company trades at a P/E of 34.2 (forward 21.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Hold.
31 analysts cover CL with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $99.
What does Colgate-Palmolive Company do?Colgate-Palmolive markets oral, personal, home care, and pet nutrition products across 200+ countries, with Oral Care...
Colgate-Palmolive markets oral, personal, home care, and pet nutrition products across 200+ countries, with Oral Care (Colgate, elmex, Tom's of Maine) at 44% and Pet Nutrition (Hill's) at 23% of 2025 net sales. Walmart represented approximately 11% of net sales in 2025, the only disclosed customer above 10%; two-thirds of revenues originate outside the United States. The company employs approximately 33,600 people across more than 100 countries.