A high-quality consumer franchise with a perfect four-quarter earnings-beat streak and free cash flow that exceeds net income has run above its near-term price target, leaving a marginally unfavorable risk/reward with downside slightly exceeding residual upside; the investment case rests on the quality and consistency of the business, but the current price offers little entry cushion.
Thesis pillars
- Consistent Earnings Delivery→Stable
- Price Above Near Term Target→Stable
- Elevated Leverage Limits Flexibility↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 23, 2026
Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products
Wait for pullback to $88.90. Price sits above the model's entry target of $88.90; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 13.9): -1.5.
Colgate-Palmolive markets oral, personal, home care, and pet nutrition products across 200+ countries, with Oral Care (Colgate, elmex, Tom's of Maine) at 44% and Pet Nutrition (Hill's) at 23% of 2025 net sales. Walmart represented approximately 11% of net sales in 2025, the only... Read more
Wait for pullback to $88.90. Price sits above the model's entry target of $88.90; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 13.9): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and 8k serious 2.05 and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: conservative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Colgate-Palmolive Company
Latest news
- NEWS Charter Communications Inc. Cl A stock outperforms competitors on strong trading day - MarketWatch — MarketWatch positive
- NEWS Accenture PLC Cl A stock outperforms competitors on strong trading day - MarketWatch — MarketWatch positive
- NEWS CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. Cl A stock falls Wednesday, still outperforms market - MarketWatch — MarketWatch neutral
- NEWS Royal Bank of Canada Grows Stock Holdings in Colgate-Palmolive Company $CL - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Ahead of Colgate-Palmolive’s (CL) Q1 Results, Here’s What Technical Indicators Are Suggesting - TipRanks — TipRanks neutral
Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:50Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerWalmart11%10-K Item 1: 'Our sales to Walmart, Inc. and its affiliates represented approximately 11% of our Net sales in 2025.'
- MEDIUMProductOral Care44%10-K Item 1: 'Sales of Oral, Personal and Home Care products accounted for 44%, 17% and 16%, respectively, of our total worldwide Net sales in 2025.'
- MEDIUMSuppliersingle-source suppliers10-K Item 1: 'We do, however, purchase certain key raw and packaging materials from single-source suppliers or a limited number of suppliers'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-01Item 2.05MEDIUMUpdate on Strategic Growth and Productivity Program (Board-approved July 31, 2025): three-year initiative to realign organizational structure in support of 2030 strategy. Filing discloses costs associated with exit or disposal activities; specific charge amount truncated in available excerpt.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-09Item 5.02MEDIUMJennifer M. Daniels (CLO and Secretary since 2014) announced retirement in 2026. Betsy Fishbone (EVP and Deputy CLO) elected CLO and Secretary effective June 1, 2026; Daniels transitions to Vice Chair for orderly handoff.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-12Item 5.02LOWChristopher S. Boerner, Ph.D. (CEO and Board Chair of Bristol-Myers Squibb) elected to Colgate-Palmolive Board, effective March 15, 2026. Board appointment only; no officer change.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $88.90. Price sits above the model's entry target of $88.90; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 13.9): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Analyst target $88.34 reached (−3.7%), stop $84.80 (−8.1%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $88.34 reached (−3.7% from $91.69); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $88.34 reached (−3.7%), stop $84.80 (−8.1%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $84.80.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 13.9): -1.5; Weak growth.
Colgate-Palmolive Company trades at a P/E of 36.1 (forward 22.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
30 analysts cover CL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $98.
What does Colgate-Palmolive Company do?Colgate-Palmolive markets oral, personal, home care, and pet nutrition products across 200+ countries, with Oral Care...
Colgate-Palmolive markets oral, personal, home care, and pet nutrition products across 200+ countries, with Oral Care (Colgate, elmex, Tom's of Maine) at 44% and Pet Nutrition (Hill's) at 23% of 2025 net sales. Walmart represented approximately 11% of net sales in 2025, the only disclosed customer above 10%; two-thirds of revenues originate outside the United States. The company employs approximately 33,600 people across more than 100 countries.