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BSYBentley Systems, IncorporatedHold5.2·$30.45-0.72%
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Bentley Systems, Incorporated (BSY) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Temp Headwind edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside U.S. (59.0%); Negative momentum.

Bentley Systems develops infrastructure engineering software across public works/utilities, resources, industrial, and commercial sectors, serving nearly 42,000 accounts in 189 countries. Revenue flows primarily from E365 consumption subscriptions and SELECT perpetual licenses,... Read more

$30.45+29.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#84 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.49%
IncomeYield0.91%(5y avg 0.42%)Payout32.18%sustainable
Stop $28.57Target $39.52(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$45.43+49.2%14 analysts
$39.52our TP
$30.45price
$45.43mean
$61

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside U.S. (59.0%); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside U.S. (59.0%)
Negative momentum
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.3
P/E (Fwd)19.4
Mkt Cap$9.3B
EV/EBITDA24.0
Profit Mgn18.1%
ROE24.3%
Rev Growth14.5%
Beta0.99
Dividend0.91%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$18-42.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicoutside U.S.59%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 59%, 58%, and 58% of our total revenues were from outside the U.S. for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively.'
  • LOWGeographicAPAC including China18%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 18% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023 relate to infrastructure projects in APAC, including China.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume
3.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
3.2
Growth Rank
4.7
Quality Rank
7.3
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $29.45Resistance $35.27

Price Targets

$29
$40
A.Upside+29.8%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BSY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside U.S. (59.0%); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $39.52 (+29.8%), stop $28.57 (−6.6%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BSY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.52 (+29.6% upside). Target $39.52 (+29.8%), stop $28.57 (−6.6%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Stop-loss: $28.57.

What are the risks of investing in BSY?

Concentration risk — Geographic: outside U.S. (59.0%); Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.

Is BSY overvalued or undervalued?

Bentley Systems, Incorporated trades at a P/E of 35.3 (forward 19.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BSY?

20 analysts cover BSY with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $45.

What does Bentley Systems, Incorporated do?Bentley Systems develops infrastructure engineering software across public works/utilities, resources, industrial, and...

Bentley Systems develops infrastructure engineering software across public works/utilities, resources, industrial, and commercial sectors, serving nearly 42,000 accounts in 189 countries. Revenue flows primarily from E365 consumption subscriptions and SELECT perpetual licenses, with direct sales generating approximately 94% of 2025 revenues.

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