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WMTWalmart Inc.Sell4.8·$120.80+0.25%
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Walmart Inc. (WMT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores

Sell if holding. At $120.80, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Walmart Inc. ("Walmart," the "Company" or "we") is a people-led, technology-powered omnichannel retailer dedicated to helping people around the world save money and live better by providing the opportunity to shop in both retail stores and through eCommerce, and to access our... Read more

$120.80+5.2% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#7 of 9 Discount Stores
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.71%
IncomeYield0.82%(5y avg 1.26%)Payout33.54%sustainable
Stop $115.64Target $127.30(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$138.37+14.5%41 analysts
$127.30our TP
$120.80price
$138.37mean
$70
$155

Sell if holding. At $120.80, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 20, 202667d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.2%
Weak overall score: 4.8/10
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.6
P/E (Fwd)36.8
Mkt Cap$963.2B
EV/EBITDA23.1
Profit Mgn3.1%
ROE24.1%
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta0.60
Dividend0.82%
Rating analysts48

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.67bearish
IV37%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.7
Growth Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
5.0

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Peg Ratio
2.6
Pe
2.9
Forward Pe
2.9
Analyst Target
6.0
Ps
9.4
Forward P/E: 36.8xPEG: 4.76
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $112.73Resistance $135.16

Price Targets

$116
$127
A.Upside+5.4%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-20 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WMT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $120.80, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $115.64. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WMT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $127.30 (+5.2% upside). Prior stop was $115.64. Stop-loss: $115.64.

What are the risks of investing in WMT?

Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Expensive valuation.

Is WMT overvalued or undervalued?

Walmart Inc. trades at a P/E of 42.6 (forward 36.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WMT?

48 analysts cover WMT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $138.

What does Walmart Inc. do?Walmart Inc. ("Walmart," the "Company" or "we") is a people-led, technology-powered omnichannel retailer dedicated to...

Walmart Inc. ("Walmart," the "Company" or "we") is a people-led, technology-powered omnichannel retailer dedicated to helping people around the world save money and live better by providing the opportunity to shop in both retail stores and through eCommerce, and to access our other service offerings.

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