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PEPPepsico, Inc.Sell5.9·$143.71-0.42%
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Pepsico, Inc. (PEP) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Sell if holding. At $143.71, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 6.8%.

PepsiCo is a global beverage and convenient food company with six reportable segments operating in 200+ countries under brands including Lay's, Pepsi, Gatorade, Doritos, and Quaker. Revenue is driven by direct sales to retailers, wholesalers, foodservice operators, and... Read more

$143.71+6.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 13 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.43%
IncomeYield4.10%(5y avg 3.03%)Payout89.32%at-risk
Stop $137.69Target $153.51(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$170.57+18.7%21 analysts
$153.51our TP
$143.71price
$170.57mean
$132
$195

Sell if holding. At $143.71, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 6.8%. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 9, 202628d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.8%
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.7
P/E (Fwd)15.8
Mkt Cap$197.3B
EV/EBITDA12.8
Profit Mgn9.1%
ROE43.9%
Rev Growth8.5%
Beta0.36
Dividend4.10%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.51bearish
IV40%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerWalmart14%
    10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, sales to Walmart Inc. (Walmart) and its affiliates, including Sam's Club (Sam's), represented approximately 14% of our consolidated net revenue'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $139.26Resistance $150.98

Price Targets

$138
$154
A.Upside+6.8%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-09 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PEP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $143.71, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 6.8%. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $137.69. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PEP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $153.51 (+6.8% upside). Prior stop was $137.69. Stop-loss: $137.69.

What are the risks of investing in PEP?

Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is PEP overvalued or undervalued?

Pepsico, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.7 (forward 15.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PEP?

29 analysts cover PEP with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $171.

What does Pepsico, Inc. do?PepsiCo is a global beverage and convenient food company with six reportable segments operating in 200+ countries under...

PepsiCo is a global beverage and convenient food company with six reportable segments operating in 200+ countries under brands including Lay's, Pepsi, Gatorade, Doritos, and Quaker. Revenue is driven by direct sales to retailers, wholesalers, foodservice operators, and independent bottlers; Walmart and affiliates represented approximately 14% of consolidated net revenue in 2025.

Related stocks: MNST (Monster Beverage Corporation) · KO (Coca-Cola Company (The)) · CCEP (Coca-Cola Europacific Partners ) · KOF (Coca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V.) · KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.)
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