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BUDAnheuser-Busch Inbev SA SponsorBuy Wait6.4·$80.98
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BUD is a high-quality consumer defensive business that has beaten earnings estimates in each of the last four quarters, but with the share price above the near-term resistance target and negative reward-to-risk geometry, the setup does not justify adding to a position today.

Thesis pillars

  • Industry Growth Leader Peer Rank→Stable
  • Price Above Target No Upside→Stable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA Sponsor (BUD) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-10-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $77.27. At $80.98 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $77.27 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV produces and sells beer in North America, Middle Americas, South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through North America, Middle Americas, South America, EMEA, Asia Pacific, and Global Export and Holding... Read more

$80.98+2.3% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#1 of 8 Beverages - Brewers
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.71%
IncomeYield1.65%(5y avg 1.30%)Payout28.99%sustainable
Entry $77.27(Ma200 Sticky)Stop $74.11Target $82.87(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst consensus$95.26+17.6%11 analysts
$82.87our TP
$80.98price
$95.26mean
$109

Wait for pullback to $77.27. At $80.98 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $77.27 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.5
P/E (Fwd)16.5
Mkt Cap$159.5B
EV/EBITDA52.1
Profit Mgn14.9%
ROE11.4%
Rev Growth11.0%
Beta0.78
Dividend1.65%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$45-44.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $72.34Resistance $85.55

Price Targets

$74
$77
$83
A.Upside+2.3%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.3% upside)
! Earnings today - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BUD stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $77.27. At $80.98 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $77.27 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Target $82.87 (+2.3%), stop $74.11 (−9.3%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BUD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $82.87 (+2.3% upside). Target $82.87 (+2.3%), stop $74.11 (−9.3%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $74.11.

What are the risks of investing in BUD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is BUD overvalued or undervalued?

Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA Sponsor trades at a P/E of 17.5 (forward 16.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BUD?

33 analysts cover BUD with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $95.

What does Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA Sponsor do?Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV produces and sells beer in North America, Middle Americas, South America, Europe, the Middle...

Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV produces and sells beer in North America, Middle Americas, South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through North America, Middle Americas, South America, EMEA, Asia Pacific, and Global Export and Holding Companies segments. The company also offers flavored malt beverages, soft drinks, spirit-based ready-to-drink cocktails and beverages, and energy drinks. In addition, it operates BEES, a business-to-business digital commerce platform; on-demand delivery platforms under the Zé Delivery and TaDa Delivery brands; and premium at-home draft system under the PerfectDraft brand. The company provides a portfolio of approximately 500 beer brands, which primarily include Budweiser, Corona Extra, Michelob Ultra, and Stella Artois; Aguila, Brahma, Carling Black Label, Cass Fresh, Jupiler, Quilmes, SKOL, and Victoria; Beck's, Hoegaarden, and Leffe; Antarctica, Bud Light, Castle, Castle Lite, Cristal, Harbin, Modelo Especial, Sedrin, and Skol brands, as well as non-beer brands comprising Brutal Fruit, Cutwater, and NÜTRL brands. The company was formerly known as InBev SA and changed its name to Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV in November 2008. Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV was founded in 1366 and is headquartered in Leuven, Belgium.

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