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Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Waste Management

Waste Connections, Inc. provides non-hazardous waste collection, transfer, and disposal services in the United States and Canada. It offers collection services to residential, commercial, municipal, industrial, and exploration and production (E&P) customers; landfill disposal... Read more

$157.06+7.7% upside
Score 4.9/10Target $169.08Reward/Risk 1.8:1

TrendMatrix rates Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) as Hold with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $157.06 with +7.7% upside to the $169.08 price target. Overall score: 4.9/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 1.8:1.

Passes 2/5 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Val5.1Qual5.4Grw3.8Mom1.4Sent7.3Ins3.7Peer3.6Tech8.3Risk8.24.9OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ Earnings catalyst in 29 days
+ Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
- Thin upside margin: 7.7%
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
- Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)37.8
P/E (Fwd)25.5
Mkt Cap$40.3B
EV/EBITDA16.8
Profit Mgn11.4%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth5.0%
Beta0.59
Dividend0.82%
Analysts20
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WCN stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) as Hold with moderate confidence. Score 4.9/10.

What is the WCN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $169.08 (+7.7% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $150.25.

What are the risks of investing in WCN?

Thin upside margin: 7.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is WCN overvalued or undervalued?

Waste Connections, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.8 (forward 25.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about WCN?

20 analysts cover WCN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $199.

What does Waste Connections, Inc. do?Waste Connections, Inc. provides non-hazardous waste collection, transfer, and disposal services in the United States...

Waste Connections, Inc. provides non-hazardous waste collection, transfer, and disposal services in the United States and Canada. It offers collection services to residential, commercial, municipal, industrial, and exploration and production (E&P) customers; landfill disposal services; and recycling services for various recyclable materials, including compost, cardboard, mixed paper, plastic containers, glass bottles, and ferrous and aluminum metals. The company owns and operates transfer stations that receive, compact, and/or load waste to be transported to landfills or treatment facilities through truck, rail, or barge; develops, owns, and operates projects or the beneficial reuse of landfill gas through landfill network; and intermodal services for the movement of cargo and solid waste containers. In addition, it provides E&P waste treatment, recovery, and disposal services for waste created through the initial drilling and completion of an oil or natural gas well, such as drilling fluids, drill cuttings, completion fluids, and flowback water; production wastes and produced water during a well's operating life; contaminated soils that require treatment during site reclamation; and substances, which require clean-up after a spill, reserve pit clean-up, or pipeline rupture. Waste Connections, Inc. was founded in 1997 and is based in Woodbridge, Canada.

Related stocks: GFL (GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin) · WM (Waste Management, Inc.) · CWST (Casella Waste Systems, Inc.) · RSG (Republic Services, Inc.) · CLH (Clean Harbors, Inc.)
21 OVERSOLD
<20d<50d<200dDEATH CROSSSupp $154.90Res $173.94

Price Targets

$150
$169
Upside+7.7%
Reward/Risk1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! MOMENTUM:1.4<5.0
! ASYMMETRY:1.5<2.0
! DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
FALLING KNIFECATALYSTSuitability: Moderate
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Momentum 1.4<5.0
Risk/Reward 1.5<2.0
Death cross (50MA < 200MA)