Waste Management is a high-quality business with a 30% return on equity and top-tier peer ranking on quality, but the stock has only 6.2% upside to analyst targets, two recent earnings misses, and sits below its 200-day moving average, leaving insufficient margin of safety at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Return On Equity↓Deteriorating
- Thin Upside To Analyst Target↓Deteriorating
- Recent Earnings Miss Pattern↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 9, 2026
Waste Management, Inc. (WM) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Industrials · Waste Management
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $230.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1).
Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this document, those terms refer to Waste Management, Inc., together with its consolidated subsidiaries and... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $230.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.60, news boost analyst cluster(4), earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-30Recent Developments — Waste Management, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Waste Management, Inc. (WM) Stock Price Today: $231.94 - Pluang — Pluang neutral
- NEWS Waste Management (WM) Could Be 8% Undervalued Ahead Of Earnings - simplywall.st — simplywall.st positive
- NEWS Waste Management (NYSE:WM) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions - Simply Wall Street — Simply Wall Street neutral
- NEWS OMERS ADMINISTRATION Corp Raises Stock Position in Waste Management, Inc. $WM - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Waste Management (NYSE:WM) Misses Q1 CY2026 Sales Expectations - StockStory — StockStory negative
Generated 2026-10-30T11:22:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-08-26Item 5.02MEDIUMOn August 24, 2026, James C. Fish, Jr. notified the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Waste Management, Inc.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $230.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $220.06. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.
Analyst target $230.18 reached (−0.3% from $230.90); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $220.06. Stop-loss: $220.06.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Waste Management, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.3 (forward 25.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
38 analysts cover WM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $256.
What does Waste Management, Inc. do?Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the...
Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this document, those terms refer to Waste Management, Inc., together with its consolidated subsidiaries and consolidated variable interest entities. When we use the term "WMI," we are referring only to Waste Management, Inc., the parent holding company.