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WMWaste Management, Inc.Sell5.6·$219.45+0.30%
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Waste Management, Inc. (WM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Waste Management

Sell if holding. At $219.45, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 5.0%.

Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this document, those terms refer to Waste Management, Inc., together with its consolidated subsidiaries and... Read more

$219.45+5.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#1 of 7 Waste Management
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.42%
IncomeYield1.61%(5y avg 1.49%)Payout49.49%sustainable
Stop $210.65Target $230.44(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$256.04+16.7%25 analysts
$230.44our TP
$219.45price
$256.04mean
$210
$285

Sell if holding. At $219.45, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 5.0%. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.0%
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.8
P/E (Fwd)23.7
Mkt Cap$88.1B
EV/EBITDA14.5
Profit Mgn11.0%
ROE29.9%
Rev Growth3.5%
Beta0.46
Dividend1.61%
Rating analysts39

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.44bullish
IV50%normal
Max Pain$340+54.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-13Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. _Retirement of Mr. Carrasco_ On May 8, 2026, Mr. Rafael E.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-13Item 5.02MEDIUM
    [10.1](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/823768/000110465926027703/tm268718d1_ex10-1.htm) | | [Transition success bonus letter agreement dated March 13, 2026.](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/823768/000110465926027703/tm268718d1_ex10-1.htm) | | 104 | | Cover Page Interactive Data Fi...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $209.21Resistance $226.71

Price Targets

$211
$230
A.Upside+5.0%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $219.45, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 5.0%. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $210.65. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $230.44 (+5.0% upside). Prior stop was $210.65. Stop-loss: $210.65.

What are the risks of investing in WM?

Thin upside margin: 5.0%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is WM overvalued or undervalued?

Waste Management, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.8 (forward 23.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WM?

39 analysts cover WM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $256.

What does Waste Management, Inc. do?Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the...

Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this document, those terms refer to Waste Management, Inc., together with its consolidated subsidiaries and consolidated variable interest entities. When we use the term "WMI," we are referring only to Waste Management, Inc., the parent holding company.

Related stocks: GFL (GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin) · RSG (Republic Services, Inc.) · WCN (Waste Connections, Inc.) · CLH (Clean Harbors, Inc.)
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