GFL's free cash flow conversion at just 16% of net income, a confirmed downtrend with a death cross, and quality below the minimum threshold collectively render the setup unattractive despite a wide gap to analyst price targets.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Minimum Floor↓Deteriorating
- Free Cash Flow Quality Red Flag→Stable
- Confirmed Downtrend Death Cross↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin (GFL) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Waste Management
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $45.04: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.38; Below-average business quality.
GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $45.04: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.38; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 103d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-30Recent Developments — GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin
Latest news
- NEWS Sovereign Fund Joins Bidding Process for GFL Environmental — fiscal.ai Oct 29, 2026 neutral
- NEWS 10 Industrials Stocks Whale Activity In Today’s Session — benzinga Oct 29, 2026 neutral
- NEWS GFL Environmental Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results and Raises Full Year 2026 Guidance — fiscal.ai Oct 28, 2026
- NEWS GFL Environmental Raises FY2026 Sales Guidance from $5.425B-$5.439B to $5.756B-$5.770B vs $5.660B Est — benzinga Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS GFL Environmental Q3 Adj. EPS $0.26 Misses $0.30 Estimate, Sales $2.155B Beat $2.043B Estimate — benzinga Oct 28, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-10-30T11:22:45Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $45.04: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.38; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $42.20. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $44.89 reached (−0.3% from $45.04); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $42.20. Stop-loss: $42.20.
Target reached (-0.3% upside); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 46.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
19 analysts cover GFL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $52.
What does GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin do?GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It...
GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida.