Skip to main content
GFLGFL Environmental Inc. SubordinSell5.4·$35.97+0.28%
Open full analysis

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin (GFL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Waste Management

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.97: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and... Read more

$35.97+21.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#3 of 7 Waste Management
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.26%
IncomeYield0.18%(5y avg 0.14%)Payout16.69%sustainable
Stop $33.97Target $43.58(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$50.09+39.3%12 analysts
$43.58our TP
$35.97price
$50.09mean
$63

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.97: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13

Recent Developments — GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)97.2
P/E (Fwd)40.6
Mkt Cap$13.0B
EV/EBITDA13.0
Profit Mgn3.1%
ROE3.0%
Rev Growth5.4%
Beta0.50
Dividend0.18%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$50+39.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.1
Roa
0.9
Roe
1.0
Operating Margin
1.3
Fcf Quality
1.3
Net Margin
1.6
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
5.5
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 16% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9Quality concerns
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.0>=5.5A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.33Resistance $38.00

Price Targets

$34
$44
A.Upside+21.2%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GFL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.97: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Prior stop was $33.97. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GFL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $43.58 (+21.2% upside). Prior stop was $33.97. Stop-loss: $33.97.

What are the risks of investing in GFL?

Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is GFL overvalued or undervalued?

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin trades at a P/E of 97.2 (forward 40.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GFL?

18 analysts cover GFL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $50.

What does GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin do?GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It...

GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida.

Related stocks: WM (Waste Management, Inc.) · RSG (Republic Services, Inc.) · WCN (Waste Connections, Inc.) · CWST (Casella Waste Systems, Inc.) · CLH (Clean Harbors, Inc.)
Home Stocks GFL

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga12d agoProduct
Benzinga42d ago
Benzinga46d agoEarnings
Benzinga47d agoEarnings
Benzinga47d agoEarnings
Benzinga47d agoEarnings
Benzinga57d ago
Benzinga61d agoAnalyst
Benzinga62d ago
Benzinga63d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga63d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga66d agoAnalyst