Skip to main content
RSGRepublic Services, Inc.Hold5.5·$236.28
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Republic Services has delivered four consecutive quarterly earnings beats with best-in-class margins among waste management peers, but a confirmed death cross in its moving averages and a price above the options max pain level of $160 suggest near-term downside pressure that offsets the otherwise solid earnings track record.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margins Peer Rank↓Deteriorating
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
  • Death Cross Confirmed Downtrend↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Waste Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $236.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.9% away).

Republic Services collects, transfers, recycles, and disposes of solid waste across the United States and Canada through 377 collection operations, 207 active landfills, and 79 recycling centers. Revenue comes from municipal and commercial collection contracts, landfill disposal... Read more

$236.28-7.2% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#3 of 9 Waste Management
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.68%
IncomeYield1.15%(5y avg 1.18%)Payout35.46%sustainable
Stop $225.96Analyst target $219.22(reached)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst consensus$243.58+3.1%24 analysts
$236.28price
$243.58mean
$208
$272

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $236.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.9% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.57)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.9% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.5
P/E (Fwd)29.3
Mkt Cap$72.4B
EV/EBITDA16.5
Profit Mgn12.9%
ROE18.2%
Rev Growth4.6%
Beta0.40
Dividend1.15%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV35%normal
Max Pain$165-30.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.0
Revenue Growth
3.7
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $205.86Resistance $243.22

Price Targets

A.Upside-7.2%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.2% upside)
! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RSG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $236.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.9% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $219.22 reached (−7.2%), stop $225.96 (−4.6%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RSG stock price target?

Analyst target $219.22 reached (−7.2% from $236.28); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $219.22 reached (−7.2%), stop $225.96 (−4.6%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $225.96.

What are the risks of investing in RSG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.9% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is RSG overvalued or undervalued?

Republic Services, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.5 (forward 29.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RSG?

32 analysts cover RSG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $244.

What does Republic Services, Inc. do?Republic Services collects, transfers, recycles, and disposes of solid waste across the United States and Canada...

Republic Services collects, transfers, recycles, and disposes of solid waste across the United States and Canada through 377 collection operations, 207 active landfills, and 79 recycling centers. Revenue comes from municipal and commercial collection contracts, landfill disposal fees, and recyclable commodity sales, supported by approximately 42,000 full-time employees.

Related stocks: CLH (Clean Harbors, Inc.) · WM (Waste Management, Inc.) · GFL (GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin) · WCN (Waste Connections, Inc.)
Home › Stocks › RSG

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat184d ago
Yahoo Finance2d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative177d ago
StockStory177d agoEarnings
MarketBeat185d ago
Benzinga3d ago
Yahoo Finance3d agoEarnings
MarketBeat178d ago
Moomoo87d ago
Finance.yahoo.com87d agoEarnings
MarketBeat87d ago
Yahoo Finance92d agoEarnings
MarketBeat92d agoEarnings
MarketBeat183d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com14h agoEarnings
TradingView14h ago
Yahoo Finance14h ago
Yahoo Finance21h ago
Pluang8d ago
GuruFocus8d ago