Vontier Corporation trades at an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 8x with an excellent return on equity of 35% and analyst consensus implying 38% upside, but carries significant debt leverage, declining earnings estimates, the most recent quarter missed estimates, and the stock is in a confirmed downtrend below its 200-day moving average.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Low Forward Pe Valuation↓Deteriorating
- High Return On Equity Quality→Stable
- Earnings Estimate Decline Trend↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026
Vontier Corporation (VNT) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole or limited source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Vontier provides digitally enabled mobility infrastructure across three segments — Mobility Technologies (Invenco, DRB, Teletrac Navman), Repair Solutions (Matco Tools), and Environmental & Fueling Solutions (Gilbarco Veeder-Root) — to fueling operators, fleet owners,... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole or limited source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 85. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
About Vontier Corporation
About Vontier Corporation
Vontier Corporation's three reportable segments — Mobility Technologies, Repair Solutions (Matco Tools), and Environmental & Fueling Solutions (Gilbarco Veeder-Root) — serve fueling operators, fleet owners, convenience stores, car wash operators, and vehicle repair businesses across approximately 25 countries, with 7,800 employees and an order backlog of $615.7 million at December 31, 2025, down from $702.4 million a year earlier. The substantial majority of 2025 revenue came from non-governmental customers.
Vontier generates revenue through equipment sales, multi-year SaaS subscriptions, and franchise-based distribution. Mobility Technologies combines convenience retail POS and payment platforms (Invenco), car wash integrated technology (DRB), fleet telematics hardware and software (Teletrac Navman), alternative fuel dispensing systems for CNG, RNG, and biogas (ANGI), and EV charging and energy management software (Driivz); subscription and service contracts typically run three to five years, with renewal rates influencing recurring revenue. Matco Tools operates through independent mobile franchisees who purchase tools, toolboxes, and automotive diagnostic equipment from the company and resell to professional mechanics, generating additional revenue through franchise fees and installment-sales financing. Gilbarco Veeder-Root sells petroleum monitoring, leak detection, forecourt controllers, and fuel dispenser systems to retail and commercial fueling operators globally, with a large installed base producing aftermarket parts and service revenue. Raw materials — electronic components, steel, plastics, cast iron, aluminum, and copper — are purchased from many independent suppliers, with some components requiring sole or limited sources due to specifications, quality requirements, or contractual commitment.
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Vontier's 10-K identifies reliance on sole or limited-source suppliers for certain materials, components, and services as a past and potential future source of production interruptions, delays, and extended lead times — a supply risk compounded by the 2025 U.S. government tariff announcements, to which the company responded by diversifying its supply chain away from high-tariff countries. With approximately $2.1 billion in outstanding indebtedness at December 31, 2025 and a $750 million revolving credit facility, restrictive debt covenants may limit flexibility to absorb supply disruptions or pursue acquisitions. An increasing share of revenue from software maintenance and subscription services under contracts typically lasting three to five years adds customer retention risk: if renewal rates decline, recurring revenue could fall and weigh on the financial results that support the company's debt obligations.
See also: Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments
From Vontier Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-30Recent Developments — Vontier Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Dimensional Fund Advisors LP Lowers Position in Vontier Corporation $VNT - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS Vontier Corp (VNT) Earnings Forecast: Future EPS & Revenue Growth Estimates - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Vontier Corp (VNT) Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance, Indicators & Moving Averages - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Vontier Corp (VNT) Earnings Forecast: Future EPS & Revenue Growth Estimates - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com neutral
- NEWS Vontier Corp (VNT) Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance, Indicators & Moving Averages - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com neutral
Generated 2026-10-30T12:27:49Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSuppliersole or limited source suppliers10-K Item 1A: 'our reliance upon sole or limited sources of supply for certain materials, components and services has in the past, and could in the future, cause production interruptions'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -2.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole or limited source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 85. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $35.54 reached (−1.0%), stop $34.33 (−4.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Analyst target $35.54 reached (−1.0% from $35.89); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $35.54 reached (−1.0%), stop $34.33 (−4.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $34.33.
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole or limited source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Vontier Corporation trades at a P/E of 14.8 (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Hold.
15 analysts cover VNT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $41.
What does Vontier Corporation do?Vontier provides digitally enabled mobility infrastructure across three segments — Mobility Technologies (Invenco, DRB,...
Vontier provides digitally enabled mobility infrastructure across three segments — Mobility Technologies (Invenco, DRB, Teletrac Navman), Repair Solutions (Matco Tools), and Environmental & Fueling Solutions (Gilbarco Veeder-Root) — to fueling operators, fleet owners, convenience stores, car washes, and vehicle repair businesses. Revenue comes from equipment sales, software subscriptions, and Matco franchise fees, with approximately 7,800 employees and a $615.7 million backlog at year-end 2025.