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STSensata Technologies Holding plBuy Wait5.5·$46.00-1.56%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sensata Technologies has achieved a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat record over the past year and converts 853% of net income into free cash flow, but the stock has already exceeded the analyst consensus price target and trades at negative indicated upside, limiting the near-term return case.

Thesis pillars

  • Automotive Concentration RiskDeteriorating
  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakImproving
  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sensata Technologies Holding pl (ST) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Earnings in 0 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $43.56. BUY gates pass at $46.00, but concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%) and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $43.56 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Sensata Technologies manufactures sensors and electrical protection components across three segments — Automotive (57.0% of 2025 net revenue), Industrials (21.3%), and Aerospace, Defense, and Commercial Equipment (21.7%) — selling primarily to OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers globally... Read more

$46.00-3.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#12 of 17 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.09%
IncomeYield1.03%Payout145.45%at-risk
Entry $43.56(support + ATR)Stop $41.52Target $46.85(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$51.09+11.1%11 analysts
$46.85our TP
$46.00price
$51.09mean
$43
$60

Wait for pullback to $43.56. BUY gates pass at $46.00, but concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%) and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $43.56 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 2026today· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)141.6
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$6.8B
EV/EBITDA11.9
Profit Mgn1.3%
ROE1.7%
Rev Growth2.6%
Beta1.26
Dividend1.03%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV72%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductAutomotive segment57%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Automotive reportable segment accounted for approximately 57.0% of our net revenue in fiscal year 2025.'
  • LOWGeographicChina20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our subsidiaries located outside of the U.S. generated approximately 61% of our net revenue in fiscal year 2025 (including approximately 20% in China)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
1.8
Value Rank
4.7
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $42.80Resistance $47.81

Price Targets

$42
$44
$47
A.Upside-3.4%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.4% upside)
! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ST stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $43.56. BUY gates pass at $46.00, but concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%) and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $43.56 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $46.85 (+1.8%), stop $41.52 (−10.8%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $46.85 (-3.4% upside). Target $46.85 (+1.8%), stop $41.52 (−10.8%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $41.52.

What are the risks of investing in ST?

Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is ST overvalued or undervalued?

Sensata Technologies Holding pl trades at a P/E of 141.6 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ST?

22 analysts cover ST with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Sensata Technologies Holding pl do?Sensata Technologies manufactures sensors and electrical protection components across three segments — Automotive...

Sensata Technologies manufactures sensors and electrical protection components across three segments — Automotive (57.0% of 2025 net revenue), Industrials (21.3%), and Aerospace, Defense, and Commercial Equipment (21.7%) — selling primarily to OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers globally with 16,700 employees. Once a sensor is designed into a platform, high switching costs from custom fit and certification make it rarely changed during a platform lifecycle of five to seven years.

Related stocks: ITRN (Ituran Location and Control Ltd) · TRMB (Trimble Inc.) · KEYS (Keysight Technologies Inc.) · CGNX (Cognex Corporation) · TDY (Teledyne Technologies Incorpora)
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