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STSensata Technologies Holding plHold6.0·$43.64+3.44%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sensata Technologies has achieved a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat record over the past year and converts 853% of net income into free cash flow, but the stock has already exceeded the analyst consensus price target and trades at negative indicated upside, limiting the near-term return case.

Thesis pillars

  • Automotive Concentration RiskStable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakImproving
  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sensata Technologies Holding pl (ST) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $43.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%); Thin upside margin: 5.5%.

Sensata Technologies manufactures sensors and electrical protection components across three segments — Automotive (57.0% of 2025 net revenue), Industrials (21.3%), and Aerospace, Defense, and Commercial Equipment (21.7%) — selling primarily to OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers globally... Read more

$43.64+5.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#6 of 17 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.94%
IncomeYield1.10%Payout77.42%
Stop $41.14Target $46.03(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$52.91+21.2%11 analysts
$46.03our TP
$43.64price
$52.91mean
$63

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $43.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%); Thin upside margin: 5.5%. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(5), earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.81)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%)
Thin upside margin: 5.5%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)70.4
P/E (Fwd)10.7
Mkt Cap$6.4B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn2.4%
ROE3.1%
Rev Growth5.0%
Beta1.25
Dividend1.10%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.65bearish
IV82%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductAutomotive segment57%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Automotive reportable segment accounted for approximately 57.0% of our net revenue in fiscal year 2025.'
  • LOWGeographicChina20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our subsidiaries located outside of the U.S. generated approximately 61% of our net revenue in fiscal year 2025 (including approximately 20% in China)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.8
Growth Rank
2.4
Value Rank
5.7
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(5)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $40.25Resistance $46.80

Price Targets

$41
$46
A.Upside+5.5%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ST stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $43.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%); Thin upside margin: 5.5%. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $46.03 (+5.5%), stop $41.14 (−6.1%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $46.03 (+5.5% upside). Target $46.03 (+5.5%), stop $41.14 (−6.1%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $41.14.

What are the risks of investing in ST?

Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%); Thin upside margin: 5.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).

Is ST overvalued or undervalued?

Sensata Technologies Holding pl trades at a P/E of 70.4 (forward 10.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ST?

21 analysts cover ST with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Sensata Technologies Holding pl do?Sensata Technologies manufactures sensors and electrical protection components across three segments — Automotive...

Sensata Technologies manufactures sensors and electrical protection components across three segments — Automotive (57.0% of 2025 net revenue), Industrials (21.3%), and Aerospace, Defense, and Commercial Equipment (21.7%) — selling primarily to OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers globally with 16,700 employees. Once a sensor is designed into a platform, high switching costs from custom fit and certification make it rarely changed during a platform lifecycle of five to seven years.

Related stocks: ITRN (Ituran Location and Control Ltd) · KEYS (Keysight Technologies Inc.) · MKSI (MKS Inc.) · CGNX (Cognex Corporation) · COHR (Coherent Corp.)
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