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ITRNIturan Location and Control LtdBuy Wait7.0·$50.89+0.67%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ituran is a high-quality, reasonably valued business currently facing a momentum headwind and a failed risk/reward gate, with a yield-trap warning on its dividend adding to the case for trimming rather than adding to the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Peg ValuationImproving
  • High Quality Excellent RoeStable
  • Thin Asymmetry Gate FailureStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ituran Location and Control Ltd (ITRN) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $52.61 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Negative momentum.

Ituran Location and Control Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides location-based telematics services and machine-to-machine telematics products in Israel, Brazil, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Telematics Services and Telematics Products. The... Read more

$50.89+22.8% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#1 of 17 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.18%
IncomeYield3.96%(5y avg 3.58%)Payout92.88%at-risk
Entry $52.61(support + ATR (held))Stop $48.63Target $62.48(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$73.50+44.4%2 analysts
$62.48our TP
$50.89price
$73.50mean
$80

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $52.61 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-22
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong overall score: 7.0/10
High-quality business
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.7
P/E (Fwd)13.4
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA8.7
Profit Mgn16.3%
ROE30.2%
Rev Growth20.7%
Beta0.81
Dividend3.96%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.60bearish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$45-11.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.4
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.6
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 29)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.86Resistance $57.38

Price Targets

$49
$53
$62
A.Upside+22.8%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.4%
Max %2.8%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ITRN stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $52.61 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Target $62.48 (+22.8%), stop $48.63 (−4.6%), A.R:R 2.9:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ITRN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $62.48 (+22.8% upside). Target $62.48 (+22.8%), stop $48.63 (−4.6%), A.R:R 2.9:1. Stop-loss: $48.63.

What are the risks of investing in ITRN?

Negative momentum.

Is ITRN overvalued or undervalued?

Ituran Location and Control Ltd trades at a P/E of 15.7 (forward 13.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ITRN?

8 analysts cover ITRN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $74.

What does Ituran Location and Control Ltd do?Ituran Location and Control Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides location-based telematics services and...

Ituran Location and Control Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides location-based telematics services and machine-to-machine telematics products in Israel, Brazil, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Telematics Services and Telematics Products. The Telematics services segment offers stolen vehicle recovery and tracking services, which enable it to locate, track, and recover stolen vehicles; fleet management services that enable corporate and individual customers to track and manage their vehicles in real time; and locator services that allow customers to protect valuable merchandise and equipment. This segment also delivers on-demand navigation guidance, information, and assistance, including the provision of traffic reports and directions, as well as information on the location of gas stations, car repair shops, post offices, hospitals, and other facilities; and provides Connected Car, a service platform that includes a back-office application, a telematics device installed in the vehicle, mobile apps for IOS and Android users, and interface using the car infotainment screen, as well as usage based insurance and auto financing services. It serves insurance companies and agents, car manufacturers, dealers and importers, cooperative sales channels, private fleet subscribers, and finance institutions. The Telematics Products segment offers a system for automatic vehicle location was based on terrestrial network triangulation technology and GPS/GPRS; Control Center, a center consisting of software used to collect data from various base sites, conduct location calculations, and transmit location data to various customers and law enforcement agencies; GPS/GPRS, a navigation and tracking devices installed in vehicles; and SMART, a portable transmitter installed in vehicles that sends a signal to the base site enabling the location of vehicles, equipment, or an individual. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Azor, Israel.

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