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Coherent Corp. (COHR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $329.31 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Coherent Corp. develops, manufactures, and markets lasers, transceivers, and optical/optoelectronic devices for communications, industrial, instrumentation, and electronics markets from facilities in the U.S., Europe, and Asia. FY2025 segments were Networking, Materials, and... Read more

$329.31+8.5% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#8 of 14 Scientific & Technical Instruments
Stop $306.48Target $357.50(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$313.50-4.8%20 analysts
$357.50our TP
$329.31price
$313.50mean
$170
$425

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $329.31 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)313.4
P/E (Fwd)42.1
Mkt Cap$59.9B
EV/EBITDA52.1
Profit Mgn4.7%
ROE3.2%
Rev Growth17.5%
Beta1.91
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV113%elevated
Max Pain$130-60.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertwo customers >10% of revenues
    10-K Item 1A: 'two customers each contributing more than 10% of total revenues in fiscal 2025.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.4
Quality Rank
0.7
Growth Rank
7.9
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $247.00Resistance $364.80

Price Targets

$306
$358
A.Upside+8.6%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is COHR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $329.31 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $306.48. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the COHR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $357.50 (+8.5% upside). Prior stop was $306.48. Stop-loss: $306.48.

What are the risks of investing in COHR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is COHR overvalued or undervalued?

Coherent Corp. trades at a P/E of 313.4 (forward 42.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about COHR?

29 analysts cover COHR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $314.

What does Coherent Corp. do?Coherent Corp. develops, manufactures, and markets lasers, transceivers, and optical/optoelectronic devices for...

Coherent Corp. develops, manufactures, and markets lasers, transceivers, and optical/optoelectronic devices for communications, industrial, instrumentation, and electronics markets from facilities in the U.S., Europe, and Asia. FY2025 segments were Networking, Materials, and Lasers; reorganizing to Datacenter & Communications and Industrial for FY2026.

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