Martin Marietta is an industry growth leader with best-in-class margins, but the stock trades at a stretched valuation (25.7x forward earnings, PEG 2.86) with only 4.4% upside to the analyst price target and a failed asymmetry gate — the setup favors patience over new capital deployment.
Thesis pillars
- Growth Leader At Premium Valuation↑Improving
- Thin Upside Unfavorable Geometry→Stable
- Fcf Quality Gap Earnings Vs Cash→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (MLM) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Basic Materials · Building Materials
Wait for pullback to $547.60. At $569.66 the A.R:R is 1.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $547.60 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 7.4%.
The Company supplies aggregates (crushed stone, sand and gravel) through its network of approximately 400 quarries, mines and distribution yards in 28 states, Canada and The Bahamas. In 2025, aggregates generated 88% of the Company's total reportable segment gross profit. As of... Read more
Wait for pullback to $547.60. At $569.66 the A.R:R is 1.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $547.60 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 7.4%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-30Recent Developments — Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Martin Marietta Materials Inc. stock underperforms Wednesday when compared to competitors - MarketWatch — MarketWatch negative
- NEWS Martin Marietta Materials Inc. stock underperforms Wednesday when compared to competitors - marketwatch.com — marketwatch.com negative
- NEWS What To Expect From Martin Marietta Materials’s (MLM) Q2 Earnings - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS What To Expect From Martin Marietta Materials’s (MLM) Q2 Earnings - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS What To Expect From Martin Marietta Materials’s (MLM) Q2 Earnings - FinancialContent — FinancialContent neutral
Generated 2026-07-30T22:23:47Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-14Item 5.02MEDIUMVotes Cast For | | Votes Against | | Votes Abstained | | Broker Non-Votes | | | | | | | | Dorothy M. Ables | | 50,202,739 | | 2,225,718 | | 64,483 | | 2,420,615 | | | | | | | | Gayla J. Delly | | 52,391,823 | | 71,523 | | 29,594 | | 2,420,615 | | | | | | | | Anthony R.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $547.60. At $569.66 the A.R:R is 1.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $547.60 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 7.4%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $611.80 (+7.4%), stop $517.75 (−10.0%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $611.80 (+7.4% upside). Target $611.80 (+7.4%), stop $517.75 (−10.0%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Stop-loss: $517.75.
Thin upside margin: 7.4%.
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.9 (forward 25.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
30 analysts cover MLM with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $680.
What does Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. do?The Company supplies aggregates (crushed stone, sand and gravel) through its network of approximately 400 quarries,...
The Company supplies aggregates (crushed stone, sand and gravel) through its network of approximately 400 quarries, mines and distribution yards in 28 states, Canada and The Bahamas. In 2025, aggregates generated 88% of the Company's total reportable segment gross profit. As of December 31, 2025, Martin Marietta also provides other building materials, namely, cement, ready mixed concrete, asphalt and paving services in targeted markets where the Company has a notable aggregates position.