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Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in Latin America. The company's principal assets located in the Vaca Muerta play, Neuquina basin, Argentina. It owns producing assets in Argentina and Mexico. In... Read more

$72.48+2.3% upside
Score 5.8/10Target $72.98Reward/Risk 0.1:1

TrendMatrix rates Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) as Sell with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $72.48 with +2.3% upside to the $72.98 price target. Overall score: 5.8/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 0.1:1.

Passes 3/4 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val7.4Qual6.8Grw5.0Mom5.3Sent6.3Ins5.0Peer5.9Tech4.6Risk6.05.8OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ Earnings catalyst in 29 days
+ Attractive valuation
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Near 52-week high (4.2% away)
- Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)10.7
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$7.6B
EV/EBITDA4.7
Profit Mgn29.1%
ROE34.8%
Rev Growth52.6%
Beta-0.20
DividendNone
Analysts7
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VIST stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) as Sell with moderate confidence. Score 5.8/10.

What is the VIST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $72.98 (+2.3% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $53.15.

What are the risks of investing in VIST?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Is VIST overvalued or undervalued?

Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. trades at a P/E of 10.7 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VIST?

7 analysts cover VIST with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $78.

What does Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. do?Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in...

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in Latin America. The company's principal assets located in the Vaca Muerta play, Neuquina basin, Argentina. It owns producing assets in Argentina and Mexico. In addition, the company involved in drilling and workover activities situated in Argentina. The company was formerly known as Vista Oil & Gas, S.A.B. de C.V. and changed its name to Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. in April 2022. Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.

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68 NEUTRAL
20d50d200dGOLDEN CROSSSupp $54.79Res $74.47

Price Targets

$53
$73
Upside+2.3%
Reward/Risk0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! V8: Target reached (-7.6% upside)
! ASYMMETRY:-0.3=NEGATIVE
BREAKOUTSuitability: Moderate
Momentum 5.3>=5.0
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Risk/Reward -0.3=NEGATIVE