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PRPermian Resources CorporationHold4.8·$19.24-1.79%
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Permian Resources Corporation (PR) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.2× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.42× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin.

Permian Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, focuses on the development of crude oil and associated liquids-rich natural gas reserves in the United States. The company's assets primarily focus on the Delaware Basin, a sub-basin of the Permian Basin.... Read more

$19.24+20.9% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#33 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-0.78%
IncomeYield3.16%Payout68.54%
Stop $18.29Target $23.21(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.1:1
Analyst target$25.79+34.0%19 analysts
$23.21our TP
$19.24price
$25.79mean
$30

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.2× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.42× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and materials cycle peak fwd=9.2x,ratio=0.42x. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.2× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.42× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin
Concentration risk — Customer: small number of significant purchasers

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.0
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$16.9B
EV/EBITDA5.6
Profit Mgn12.8%
ROE6.9%
Rev Growth0.9%
Beta0.44
Dividend3.16%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.34bearish
IV66%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicPermian Basin
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our producing properties are concentrated in the Permian Basin, making us vulnerable to risks associated with operating in a single geographic area'
  • HIGHCustomersmall number of significant purchasers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend on a small number of significant purchasers for the sale of most of our oil, natural gas and NGL production'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-06Item 1.01MEDIUM
    Permian Resources OpCo entered into new $3.0B senior unsecured revolving credit facility with JPMorgan Chase as admin agent, maturing April 30, 2031. Replaces Prior Credit Agreement. Commitments extendable to $4.0B.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-06Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Prior Credit Agreement terminated effective April 30, 2026 upon entry into the new $3.0B senior unsecured credit facility. No reason cited beyond refinancing.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.7

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.0
Growth Rank
2.7
Quality Rank
3.6

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
2.1
Macd
2.6
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 29)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5MATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=9.2x,ratio=0.42x8K FLAG 1.02A.R:R 3.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.86Resistance $21.55

Price Targets

$18
$23
A.Upside+20.6%
A.R:R3.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=9.2x,ratio=0.42x

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.2× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.42× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $23.21 (+20.6%), stop $18.29 (−5.2%), A.R:R 3.1:1. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.21 (+20.9% upside). Target $23.21 (+20.6%), stop $18.29 (−5.2%), A.R:R 3.1:1. Stop-loss: $18.29.

What are the risks of investing in PR?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.2× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.42× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin; Concentration risk — Customer: small number of significant purchasers.

Is PR overvalued or undervalued?

Permian Resources Corporation trades at a P/E of 22.0 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PR?

31 analysts cover PR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Permian Resources Corporation do?Permian Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, focuses on the development of crude oil and...

Permian Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, focuses on the development of crude oil and associated liquids-rich natural gas reserves in the United States. The company's assets primarily focus on the Delaware Basin, a sub-basin of the Permian Basin. Its properties consist of acreage blocks in Reeves County in West Texas and Lea County in New Mexico. The company was formerly known as Centennial Resource Development, Inc. and changed its name to Permian Resources Corporation in September 2022. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.

Related stocks: GPOR (Gulfport Energy Corporation) · EXE (Expand Energy Corporation) · EQT (EQT Corporation) · CNX (CNX Resources Corporation) · SM (SM Energy Company)
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