Vermilion Energy trades at a forward price-to-earnings of 16.4x with a 16.7% free cash flow yield despite GAAP losses, but a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.0, three of four recent earnings misses with massive negative surprises, and an elevated put-to-call ratio of 4.60 signal severe near-term financial risk that places this below the minimum quality threshold.
Thesis pillars
- Fcf Yield Despite Gaap Loss→Stable
- High Leverage Value Trap Signals↓Deteriorating
- Earnings Miss Severity↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026
Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET) Stock Analysis
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $13.64: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Earnings in 5 days (event risk).
Vermilion Energy Inc., engages in petroleum and natural gas, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and optimization of producing properties in North America, Europe, and Australia. Its properties are located in the West Pembina region of West Central Alberta,... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $13.64: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.6/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Vermilion Energy Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Vermilion Energy (VET) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Vermilion Energy (VET) Projected to Post Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Is Vermilion Energy Inc (VET) Overvalued After 3.5% Rally? GF Va - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS Is Vermilion Energy Sending a Fresh TSX Completion Index Signal? - Kalkine Media — Kalkine Media neutral
- NEWS Vermilion Energy Breaks Trend—SmallCap Index Shift Ahead? - Kalkine Media — Kalkine Media neutral
Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:36Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $13.64: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $12.69. Score 6.6/10, high confidence.
Resistance target: $14.09 (+3.3% upside). Prior stop was $12.69. Stop-loss: $12.69.
Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (3); Overbought (RSI 77).
Vermilion Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover VET with a consensus score of 3.6/5.
What does Vermilion Energy Inc. do?Vermilion Energy Inc., engages in petroleum and natural gas, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and...
Vermilion Energy Inc., engages in petroleum and natural gas, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and optimization of producing properties in North America, Europe, and Australia. Its properties are located in the West Pembina region of West Central Alberta, Canada; southwest Bordeaux and Paris Basin in France; the Netherlands; Germany; Ireland; Croatia; Slovakia; Hungary; and Australia. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.