US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) Stock Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $89.25: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
US Foods is a national foodservice broadline distributor supplying ~250,000 customer locations (restaurants, healthcare, hospitality, government) with ~250,000 products from thousands of suppliers. Net sales of $39.4B in fiscal 2025; no single customer exceeds 2% of net sales,... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $89.25: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-10Recent Developments — US Foods Holding Corp.
Latest news
- NEWS USFD Launches SIGNATURE Program to Support Hospitality Operators - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS US Foods (USFD) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS US Foods (USFD) Projected to Post Quarterly Earnings on Thursday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS AB Large Cap Value Fund's US Foods Holding Corp(USFD) Holding History - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS UBS Group AG Lowers Holdings in US Foods Holding Corp. $USFD - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomersingle GPO14%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 14% of our net sales in fiscal year 2025 that were made to customers that are members of a single GPO'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $89.25: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $84.59. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $96.66 (+8.3% upside). Prior stop was $84.59. Stop-loss: $84.59.
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 0.2%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.08% of cap).
US Foods Holding Corp. trades at a P/E of 30.1 (forward 16.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover USFD with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $107.
What does US Foods Holding Corp. do?US Foods is a national foodservice broadline distributor supplying ~250,000 customer locations (restaurants,...
US Foods is a national foodservice broadline distributor supplying ~250,000 customer locations (restaurants, healthcare, hospitality, government) with ~250,000 products from thousands of suppliers. Net sales of $39.4B in fiscal 2025; no single customer exceeds 2% of net sales, though GPO-negotiated contracts represent ~27% of net sales.