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Sysco Corporation (SYY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution

Sell if holding. At $74.80, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 3.7%.

Sysco is the largest global food and related products distributor, serving ~730,000 customer locations including restaurants, healthcare, educational facilities, and lodging through U.S. Foodservice, International Foodservice, and SYGMA segments. It generated $81.4 billion in... Read more

$74.80+3.7% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#3 of 5 Food Distribution
Stop $71.59Target $77.58(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$86.20+15.2%15 analysts
$77.58our TP
$74.80price
$86.20mean
$70
$100

Sell if holding. At $74.80, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 3.7%. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.7%
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.8
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$35.7B
EV/EBITDA10.8
Profit Mgn2.1%
ROE81.9%
Rev Growth4.7%
Beta0.69
Dividend2.94%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C6.17bearish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$50-33.2% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-02Item 5.02LOW
    Tom Peck, EVP and Chief Information and Digital Officer, resigned effective April 10, 2026 to accept another opportunity in a different industry. No disagreement with the Company cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-05Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Kenny Cheung resigned to accept opportunity at a Fortune 10 company. Brandon Sewell appointed interim CFO effective March 6, 2026. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.7
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $70.62Resistance $77.03

Price Targets

$72
$78
A.Upside+3.7%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.7:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SYY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $74.80, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 3.7%. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $71.59. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the SYY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $77.58 (+3.7% upside). Prior stop was $71.59. Stop-loss: $71.59.

What are the risks of investing in SYY?

Thin upside margin: 3.7%; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is SYY overvalued or undervalued?

Sysco Corporation trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SYY?

23 analysts cover SYY with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $86.

What does Sysco Corporation do?Sysco is the largest global food and related products distributor, serving ~730,000 customer locations including...

Sysco is the largest global food and related products distributor, serving ~730,000 customer locations including restaurants, healthcare, educational facilities, and lodging through U.S. Foodservice, International Foodservice, and SYGMA segments. It generated $81.4 billion in annual sales in fiscal 2025 through product distribution to foodservice operators in North America and Europe.

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