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USFDUS Foods Holding Corp.Sell5.1·$84.61+2.93%
USFD · Why this verdict

Why US Foods Holding (USFD) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

6.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E4.5
P/S10.0
EV/EBITDA3.5
Fwd P/E7.9
PEG4.0
Analyst target6.0
  • Forward P/E: 15.3x
  • PEG: 2.51

Quality

3.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE5.0
ROA3.7
Gross margin0.0
Op margin0.9
Net margin0.9
Current ratio4.4
FCF quality7.5
Moat4.2
Piotroski F6.7
  • No competitive moat

Growth

3.2/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth3.2
EPS growth3.2

Momentum

8.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD10.0
OBV10.0
MA position7.0
Volume8.3
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

6.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment3.5
Analyst rating8.6
Price target8.3
  • Analyst upside: 27%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.1/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank1.3
quality rank6.0
growth rank4.0

Technical

3.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger1.2
support resistance3.8
52w position6.6

Risk (lower is worse)

7.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest8.0
days to cover7.5
volatility6.5
put call10.0
implied vol4.9
beta8.0
debt equity4.5

Catalyst

5.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg3.6
news activity5.0
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Quality below minimum threshold.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L1:HARD_BLOCK
Passed (7)
  • MOMENTUM:8.2>=5.5
  • ASYMMETRY:2.3>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:60d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)

none

Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
2.31
Upside
+13.9%
Downside
6.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Momentum at 8.2 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor.

The strongest dimensions are Momentum at 8.2, Risk (lower is worse) at 7.1, and Sentiment at 6.9; the weakest are Growth at 3.2, Quality at 3.7, and Technical at 3.9. The V9 engine cleared all gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.31 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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