Performance Food Group converts income to free cash flow at 224% and carries strong earnings growth potential, but quality scores fall below minimum thresholds at 3.6 out of 10, the stock has missed earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and prices are at analyst resistance with no upside remaining.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Floor→Stable
- Exceptional Fcf Conversion→Stable
- Earnings Miss Pattern 3 Of 4↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) Stock Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $104.98: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Performance Food Group distributes 250,000+ food products across three segments—Foodservice, Convenience, and Specialty—from 155 distribution centers to 300,000+ customer locations in North America. Revenue comes from product markups, with independent restaurant customers... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $104.98: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and news legal. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-22Recent Developments — Performance Food Group Company
Latest news
- NEWS Centers For Disease Control And Prevention: Investigating A Multistate Outbreak Of E. Coli And Salmonella Infections Lin — benzinga Aug 21, 2026 negative
- NEWS $100 Invested In Performance Food Group 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today — benzinga Aug 21, 2026 positive
- NEWS Dan Loeb Exits Nvidia, Meta And Broadcom — Bets Big On Warner Bros. Discovery — benzinga Aug 17, 2026 negative
- NEWS UBS Maintains Buy on Performance Food Group, Lowers Price Target to $130 — benzinga Aug 14, 2026 positive
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Buy on Performance Food Group, Raises Price Target to $144 — benzinga Aug 13, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-08-23T00:51:56Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMProductcigarettes and other tobacco products10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our sales volume depends upon the distribution of cigarettes and other tobacco products'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $104.98: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $98.78. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $107.55 (+2.4% upside). Prior stop was $98.78. Stop-loss: $98.78.
Target reached (2.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).
Performance Food Group Company trades at a P/E of 45.4 (forward 15.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover PFGC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $124.
What does Performance Food Group Company do?Performance Food Group distributes 250,000+ food products across three segments—Foodservice, Convenience, and...
Performance Food Group distributes 250,000+ food products across three segments—Foodservice, Convenience, and Specialty—from 155 distribution centers to 300,000+ customer locations in North America. Revenue comes from product markups, with independent restaurant customers generating higher margins than chain customers; approximately 43,000 employees serve food-away-from-home and convenience retail channels.