Skip to main content
PFGCPerformance Food Group CompanySell5.3·$100.74+0.98%
Open full analysis

Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $100.74: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Performance Food Group distributes food and food-related products to 300,000+ customer locations across North America via three segments: Foodservice, Convenience, and Specialty, operating 155 distribution centers. Revenue comes from markup-based pricing on over 250,000 SKUs... Read more

$100.74+3.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#1 of 5 Food Distribution
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.66%
Stop $94.92Target $103.89(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$119.42+18.5%12 analysts
$103.89our TP
$100.74price
$119.42mean
$135

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $100.74: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11

Recent Developments — Performance Food Group Company

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202662d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)48.0
P/E (Fwd)17.5
Mkt Cap$15.8B
EV/EBITDA14.5
Profit Mgn0.5%
ROE7.3%
Rev Growth6.4%
Beta0.93
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.01bullish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$90-10.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.5
52w Position
8.5

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.3
Operating Margin
0.4
Roa
2.0
Roe
2.4
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
5.5
Piotroski F
7.8
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 224% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $91.64Resistance $102.40

Price Targets

$95
$104
A.Upside+3.1%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PFGC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $100.74: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $94.92. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PFGC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $103.89 (+3.1% upside). Prior stop was $94.92. Stop-loss: $94.92.

What are the risks of investing in PFGC?

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is PFGC overvalued or undervalued?

Performance Food Group Company trades at a P/E of 48.0 (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PFGC?

21 analysts cover PFGC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $119.

What does Performance Food Group Company do?Performance Food Group distributes food and food-related products to 300,000+ customer locations across North America...

Performance Food Group distributes food and food-related products to 300,000+ customer locations across North America via three segments: Foodservice, Convenience, and Specialty, operating 155 distribution centers. Revenue comes from markup-based pricing on over 250,000 SKUs sold to restaurants, convenience stores, theaters, healthcare, and other food-away-from-home customers; no single customer exceeded 10% of consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025.

Related stocks: USFD (US Foods Holding Corp.) · SYY (Sysco Corporation) · ANDE (The Andersons, Inc.) · UNFI (United Natural Foods, Inc.)
Home Stocks PFGC

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga39d agoAnalyst
Benzinga39d agoAnalyst
Benzinga40d agoEarnings
Benzinga40d agoEarnings
Benzinga40d agoEarnings
Benzinga40d ago