Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $90.83: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.89; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Performance Food Group distributes 250,000+ food and food-related products from 155 distribution centers to 300,000+ customer locations across North America, including restaurants, schools, hospitals, and convenience stores. Revenue flows through three segments—Foodservice,... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $90.83: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.89; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMProductcigarettes and other tobacco products10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our sales volume is dependent upon the distribution of cigarettes and other tobacco products, sales of which are generally declining.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $90.83: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.89; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Prior stop was $85.62. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $102.51 (+12.8% upside). Prior stop was $85.62. Stop-loss: $85.62.
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).
Performance Food Group Company trades at a P/E of 41.0 (forward 15.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover PFGC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $118.
What does Performance Food Group Company do?Performance Food Group distributes 250,000+ food and food-related products from 155 distribution centers to 300,000+...
Performance Food Group distributes 250,000+ food and food-related products from 155 distribution centers to 300,000+ customer locations across North America, including restaurants, schools, hospitals, and convenience stores. Revenue flows through three segments—Foodservice, Convenience, and Specialty—in a low-margin distribution business where scale and supplier promotional allowances drive profitability. The company is one of the largest wholesale consumer products distributors in the convenience retail industry.