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Laureate Education, Inc. (LAUR) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Peru; Negative momentum.

Laureate Education operates a portfolio of degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico (UVM, UNITEC) and Peru (UPC, UPN, CIBERTEC), with ~497,700 students across 50+ campuses. Revenue is tuition-based from private-pay students; essentially all revenue originated... Read more

$30.71+13.9% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#2 of 15 Education & Training Services
Stop $28.57Target $34.87(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$40.08+30.5%6 analysts
$34.87our TP
$30.71price
$40.08mean
$43

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Peru; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Peru
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.9
P/E (Fwd)12.2
Mkt Cap$4.3B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn16.5%
ROE26.4%
Rev Growth27.9%
Beta0.62
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$30-2.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicMexico and Peru
    10-K Item 1A: 'We operate a portfolio of degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico and Peru and are subject to complex business, economic, legal, political, tax and foreign currency risks'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.70Resistance $35.74

Price Targets

$29
$35
A.Upside+13.5%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LAUR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Peru; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $34.87 (+13.5%), stop $28.57 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LAUR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.87 (+13.9% upside). Target $34.87 (+13.5%), stop $28.57 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $28.57.

What are the risks of investing in LAUR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Peru; Negative momentum.

Is LAUR overvalued or undervalued?

Laureate Education, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.9 (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LAUR?

12 analysts cover LAUR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Laureate Education, Inc. do?Laureate Education operates a portfolio of degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico (UVM, UNITEC) and...

Laureate Education operates a portfolio of degree-granting higher education institutions in Mexico (UVM, UNITEC) and Peru (UPC, UPN, CIBERTEC), with ~497,700 students across 50+ campuses. Revenue is tuition-based from private-pay students; essentially all revenue originated outside the United States in 2025.

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