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URIUnited Rentals, Inc.Sell5.1·$1074.24+0.54%
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United Rentals, Inc. (URI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1074.24 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.9% away).

United Rentals is the largest equipment rental company in the world with 1,768 locations in the US, Canada, and internationally, generating $16.1B in 2025 revenue across general rentals and specialty (trench safety, power/HVAC, fluid solutions) segments. Equipment rental... Read more

$1074.24+1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#8 of 16 Rental & Leasing Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.78%
IncomeYield0.73%Payout18.76%sustainable
Stop $1006.60Target $1084.74(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$1091.43+1.6%21 analysts
$1084.74our TP
$1074.24price
$1091.43mean
$715
$1550

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1074.24 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.9% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.9% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.5
P/E (Fwd)19.9
Mkt Cap$67.3B
EV/EBITDA18.1
Profit Mgn15.3%
ROE28.2%
Rev Growth7.2%
Beta1.82
Dividend0.73%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.06bearish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$270-74.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWSupplierlargest supplier11%
    10-K Item 1: 'Largest supplier percent of capital expenditures| 11%'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.3
Revenue Growth
4.3
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
77 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $911.15Resistance $1106.88

Price Targets

$1007
$1085
A.Upside+1.0%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is URI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1074.24 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.9% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $1006.60. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the URI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1084.74 (+1.0% upside). Prior stop was $1006.60. Stop-loss: $1006.60.

What are the risks of investing in URI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.9% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.

Is URI overvalued or undervalued?

United Rentals, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.5 (forward 19.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about URI?

27 analysts cover URI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $1091.

What does United Rentals, Inc. do?United Rentals is the largest equipment rental company in the world with 1,768 locations in the US, Canada, and...

United Rentals is the largest equipment rental company in the world with 1,768 locations in the US, Canada, and internationally, generating $16.1B in 2025 revenue across general rentals and specialty (trench safety, power/HVAC, fluid solutions) segments. Equipment rental represents 86% of total revenues; largest customer is 1% and top-10 customers are 5% of revenues, reflecting high diversification.

Related stocks: AER (AerCap Holdings N.V.) · SUNB (Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc.) · R (Ryder System, Inc.) · UHAL (U-Haul Holding Company) · UHAL-B (U-Haul Holding Company Series N)
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